Good Morning!

We had another FANTASTIC day with our NEW NBA Model. Our player prop model went 4-1 on the night.

This makes the overall record for it at 10-4 since we launched it earlier this week!

Today, I pivot back to the NFL and Thursday night football for this round of bets!

Thursday Night Football Preview: Rams @ Seahawks

📍 Game: Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
🕗 Kickoff: Tonight — 8:15 p.m. ET
📺 TV: Prime Video
📊 Line: Seahawks ~-1.5 / Rams +1.5 (varies by book)
📈 Total: ~42–44.5 points (lowish for primetime)

This is one of the most important divisional games of the season: both teams sit atop the NFC West at 11–3, and the winner strengthens its hold on the division and a top playoff seed.

🔎 Key Factors & Storylines

🚨 Big Injury Impact

• Rams WR Davante Adams is doubtful with a hamstring injury — a major loss, as he leads the league in receiving touchdowns and is Matthew Stafford’s top red-zone target.

• Seahawks LT Charles Cross is questionable with a hamstring issue, which could affect Seattle’s pass protection vs. a strong Rams front.

• Rams travel was delayed due to aircraft issues earlier — not a game-changer but definitely a storyline to mention.

🧠 Matchup Insight

This rivalry is tight — the first meeting this season was a 21-19 Rams win in L.A. 

Both defenses rank among the top units in the league, and the first matchup was a low-scoring affair. That trend suggests tonight could also be close and grind-it-out — especially with Adams uncertain.

Seattle’s defense is elite — second in EPA allowed — and could pressure Stafford into mistakes. Meanwhile, the Seahawks’ offense will look to exploit opportunities at home.

⭐ Best Bets for Tonight

🏆 📌 Best Bet: Under 44.0 Points

The low total has real value here. With two stout defenses, Adams uncertain, and a past meeting that finished 21-19, this game feels like a defensive slugfest that stays under the total. Models and trend data support the Under.

🟩 Side Bet: Seahawks +1.5

Experts are backing Seattle with the points for good reason: home-field advantage and elite defensive play, plus an injury-depleted Rams passing game. Some previews even lean Seattle outright, making the +1.5 line attractive.

🎯 Player Props to Consider

Here are props gaining traction based on matchup and injuries:

🔹 Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 90.5 Receiving Yards

Smith-Njigba is a focal point of Seattle’s passing game, and analysts believe he’ll be targeted often against LA’s secondary.

🔹 Kyren Williams Anytime Touchdown

Williams has been a reliable red-zone threat for the Rams; with Adams sidelined, his role could expand in scoring situations.