Yo!

We successfully bet Jax State +2 last night and didn’t need the points. They won outright and took the victory on the road just as our A.I. suggested would happen.

I love betting late in the season like this when the model and A.I. are super sharp. It feels like you know what is going to happen in a game before they even kick off.

Obviously, it’s not perfect. But we keep winning a high ratio of games in college football.

I’ve got another one tonight. This is a 2 unit bet for me.

Before we get into the bet…

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I’ve priced it super cheap so anyone can use it.

Tulane vs Charlotte

Key Reasons for Tulane -14.5

1. Offensive Firepower & Rushing Advantage:

   • Tulane’s offense, ranked 43rd nationally with an average of 425 yards per game, is well-balanced and particularly powerful on the ground, ranking 11th with 217 rushing yards per game.

   • Charlotte's defense has struggled against the run, allowing 184 rushing yards per game and ranking 110th. This weakness plays right into Tulane’s strength, allowing Tulane to control possession, wear down the defense, and rack up points.

2. Charlotte’s Limited Offensive Production:

   • Charlotte’s offense ranks near the bottom (104th out of 134), with a particularly weak rushing game (103rd with 126 yards per game).

   • Tulane’s defense, on the other hand, is solid against the run, ranking 29th and giving up just 115 yards per game. With Tulane likely to neutralize Charlotte’s ground game, Charlotte may struggle to generate consistent offensive drives.

3. Defensive Edge for Tulane:

   • While Tulane’s defense ranks 49th, allowing 341 yards per game, they’re especially effective against the run. This advantage should limit Charlotte’s ability to sustain drives and put up points, likely forcing more passing attempts where Tulane can defend without compromising on pressure.

   • Charlotte’s defense, ranked 110th and allowing 415 yards per game, lacks the consistency to contain Tulane’s balanced offense, giving Tulane an opportunity to score quickly and frequently.

4. Mismatch in Strength of Schedule and Form:

   • Charlotte’s weaker schedule (60th in strength) and 3-5 record suggest they’ve struggled even against less competitive teams.

   • Tulane’s slightly tougher schedule and stronger 6-2 record indicate they’ve been more consistent and resilient, particularly on the offensive front.

Game Script Favoring a Cover

With Tulane likely to control time of possession through a dominant ground game and limit Charlotte’s scoring opportunities, the matchup could turn one-sided. Tulane’s efficient offense and strong rushing defense suggest they can both put up points and prevent Charlotte from catching up. This combination of offensive and defensive mismatches provides a solid setup for Tulane to cover the -14.5 spread comfortably.

Recommended Bet: Tulane -14.5