Thursday NFL Best Bets

Ravens vs Dolphins

🏈 Game Context & Key Notes

  • The Ravens are listed as 7.5-point favorites on the road vs. Miami. The total (over/under) is in the 50-51½ points range. Action Network+2CBS Sports+2

  • Star QB Lamar Jackson is expected to return after a hamstring injury, which lifts Baltimore’s offensive ceiling. SB Nation+1

  • Both defenses have shown significant vulnerabilities: Miami’s run defense and Baltimore’s pass defense rank near the bottom in key metrics. Covers.com

  • Miami at home has hit the Over in nine straight home games, and Baltimore with Jackson has averaged 30+ points in most starts. Covers.com

✅ Best Bets

  1. Best Bet: Over 50.5 Points
    With Jackson back, and both teams’ defenses shaky, this looks like a high-scoring affair. Analysts are leaning toward the Over.+1

  2. Secondary Lean: Ravens −7.5 Spread
    Baltimore has the edge now that Jackson is back. While the spread is a bit steep, the mismatch favors the Ravens.

🎯 Prop Ideas to Consider

  • Lamar Jackson Over ~39.5 Rushing Yards — With his mobility back, expect him to run enough to clear this.

  • Tua Tagovailoa Over ~220.5 Passing Yards — Miami will likely need to pass to keep pace.

  • Any-time Touchdown Scorer: Ravens RB Derrick Henry — Miami’s run defense is weak; Henry could punish them.