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Thursday NFL Best Bets
Ravens vs Dolphins
🏈 Game Context & Key Notes
The Ravens are listed as 7.5-point favorites on the road vs. Miami. The total (over/under) is in the 50-51½ points range. Action Network+2CBS Sports+2
Star QB Lamar Jackson is expected to return after a hamstring injury, which lifts Baltimore’s offensive ceiling. SB Nation+1
Both defenses have shown significant vulnerabilities: Miami’s run defense and Baltimore’s pass defense rank near the bottom in key metrics. Covers.com
Miami at home has hit the Over in nine straight home games, and Baltimore with Jackson has averaged 30+ points in most starts. Covers.com
✅ Best Bets
Best Bet: Over 50.5 Points
With Jackson back, and both teams’ defenses shaky, this looks like a high-scoring affair. Analysts are leaning toward the Over.+1Secondary Lean: Ravens −7.5 Spread
Baltimore has the edge now that Jackson is back. While the spread is a bit steep, the mismatch favors the Ravens.
🎯 Prop Ideas to Consider
Lamar Jackson Over ~39.5 Rushing Yards — With his mobility back, expect him to run enough to clear this.
Tua Tagovailoa Over ~220.5 Passing Yards — Miami will likely need to pass to keep pace.
Any-time Touchdown Scorer: Ravens RB Derrick Henry — Miami’s run defense is weak; Henry could punish them.