Sunday Night Football Bets

Good Afternoon,

We are back with a PrimeTime Preview for Sunday Night Football.

This should be an interesting matchup tonight.

Let’s waste no time!

1. Moneyline: Jets ML

• Best Bet: Jets Moneyline (-135)

  Reasoning:

  • Aaron Rodgers has familiarity with Davante Adams, and this reunion should lead to offensive efficiency, especially against a defense like Pittsburgh's, which will have to adjust to Wilson taking over at QB.

  • Mike Tomlin's ATS record as a home underdog is strong, but given Wilson’s rust and potential fit issues, it’s safer to take the Jets on the moneyline. The Jets have a 59% chance to win based on simulations, making this a solid play.

2. Total: Under 39.5

• Best Bet: Under 39.5 (-112)

  Reasoning:

  • Both defenses are strong, and Russell Wilson’s recent struggles (even before joining Pittsburgh) suggest that the Steelers’ offense may underperform. The Jets are also adjusting with Davante Adams, so their offense may still be limited.

  • Historical trends for Sunday Night Football indicate that unders hit frequently (6-0 this season, 32-10 since 2022). The Jets are also 4-1 on unders in their last five games, and the Steelers' low-scoring tendencies (top-2 defense allowing just 14.3 PPG) favor a low-scoring game.

3. Prop Bets:

A. Aaron Rodgers Total Passing Yards: Over 224.5 (-110)

• Reasoning: With Davante Adams joining the Jets, Aaron Rodgers will likely throw frequently against a strong pass rush. Expect short routes and quick releases, but Rodgers should still clear 224.5 yards, as he will target Adams and the running backs consistently.

B. Russell Wilson Total Passing TDs: Under 0.5 (+160)

• Reasoning: Wilson will be up against one of the toughest defenses in the league. Given his inconsistency over recent years and the Jets' pass defense, there’s good value in betting that Wilson may not throw a touchdown in his season debut.

C. Najee Harris Rushing Yards: Under 59.5 (-145)

• Reasoning: Najee Harris has struggled to consistently break big runs this season, and the Jets have a solid defensive front that can shut down the run game. This is a strong play, especially with Wilson’s uncertain impact on Pittsburgh's offense.