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Jets vs 49ers - Monday Night Football

Best Bets

Spread

• Pick: Jets +4
  Analysis: The Jets have strong defensive capabilities and should be able to exploit potential issues with the 49ers' offensive line, especially given Trent Williams' recent contract extension and the overall uncertainty in San Francisco's offensive line. The Super Bowl loser trend (5-19 ATS) and the 49ers’ struggles against the spread at home (0-7 in their last seven home games) support the Jets covering the spread. Given the odds and the anticipated close game, the Jets +4 is a solid bet.

Total

• Pick: Under 43.5
  Analysis: Both defenses are strong, with the Jets ranking high in defensive metrics and the 49ers having a potentially disruptive defensive front. With questions around the 49ers' offensive line and both teams’ recent tendencies to play low-scoring games in Week 1, betting on the Under is a prudent choice. Additionally, historical trends of Week 1 unders (70-42-1) support this bet.

Prop Bets

1. Brock Purdy + Aaron Rodgers Under 42.5 Total Combined Passing Completions (-110)

   • Analysis: With both quarterbacks facing strong defenses and potential issues with pass protection, this bet offers good value. Purdy’s average number of completions is lower compared to the line, and the Jets' defense is effective against completions. This combined projection offers a buffer if one quarterback performs worse than expected.

2. Brandon Aiyuk Longest Reception Over 21.5 Yards (-114)

   • Analysis: Aiyuk has a strong chance to exceed this number given his role in the 49ers’ offense and the Jets’ defensive strategy focusing more on stopping the run. The line of 21.5 yards is a favorable number compared to the general market, making this a high-value bet.

3. Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+118)

   • Analysis: Given Rodgers' return and the potential vulnerability in the 49ers’ secondary, betting on him to throw for at least two touchdowns at plus-money odds provides good value. The 49ers' pass rush concerns also increase the likelihood that Rodgers will have time to find his receivers in the end zone.