Eagles vs Falcons Betting Preview

Good Afternoon,

Yesterday’s Prime Time Preview led us to a winning day! We went 3-2 including a push on the Texans -6. Anytime I can watch a good football game and come away with more money than I started I won’t consider a bad night. However, It would’ve been nice had the Texans covered and allowed us to go 4-2. Feel like we left one out there on that!

I am back with another Prime Time Preview with the Falcons and Eagles matching up in Monday night football.

Look. I get it. Monday’s are hard. I am making this “Prime Time Preview” free for the people! I’ve ran all the info I can through my A.I. System and it has given me 5 bets to take tonight.

If you want EVERY bet I give out, be sure to give our premium subscription a try. It’s very affordable.

1. Spread: Eagles -5.5 (-110)

• Rationale: The Eagles have a clear advantage in both offensive and defensive matchups. Kirk Cousins' limited mobility following his Achilles injury has impacted the Falcons' offensive scheme, making it challenging for them to utilize play-action and stretch the field vertically. On the other side, the Eagles have a strong offense led by Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley. The articles highlight Hurts' impressive record at home, covering the spread in 62.5% of his games as a starting quarterback.

• Key Trends:

  • Jalen Hurts has a strong ATS record as a home favorite, going 10-4 ATS when favored by six or more points.

  • Philadelphia is 18-3 straight up and 13-6-2 ATS as a home favorite under head coach Nick Sirianni.

• Potential Risk: Philadelphia's travel from Brazil might have some impact, but the extra preparation time and Cousins' questionable health make the Eagles a solid pick.

2. Total: Over 46 (-110)

• Rationale: While the Falcons' offense struggled in Week 1, they still possess offensive weapons like Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts. The Eagles' offense has shown they can put up points, and with A.J. Brown out, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert are expected to step up. If the Falcons can improve on their Week 1 performance, especially with Cousins finding more rhythm, this game could exceed the total.

• Key Points:

  • The Eagles have hit the first-half Over in 14 of their last 21 games.

  • Billy Ward's analysis suggests that the game environment heavily depends on the Falcons' ability to keep pace, with an expectation that the Eagles will still score even without A.J. Brown.

3. Prop Bet: Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 Interceptions (-170)

• Rationale: Kirk Cousins has a track record of struggling in primetime games, with a 3-10 record on Monday Night Football. His performance in Week 1 showed that his limited mobility led to risky throws, and the Eagles' defense can exploit this by applying pressure and baiting him into mistakes.

• Key Stats:

  • Cousins has thrown 14 interceptions in his 13 Monday night games, including at least one in 9 of his last 13 Monday night appearances.

4. Prop Bet: Dallas Goedert Over 3.5 Receptions (-145)

• Rationale: Dallas Goedert is a key target for Jalen Hurts, especially when there is no pressure on the quarterback. In Week 1, Goedert saw a high target share when Hurts was not pressured, and the Falcons' defensive line recorded the fourth-worst pressure rate in the NFL in Week 1.

• Key Points:

  • With the Falcons struggling to generate pressure, Hurts should have time to find Goedert. Additionally, with A.J. Brown out, Goedert's target share could increase, making this a favorable prop bet despite the juice.

5. Prop Bet: Kyle Pitts Over 3.5 Receptions (-130)

• Rationale: The Eagles have historically struggled against receiving tight ends, and Kyle Pitts is a focal point of the Falcons' passing game. Pitts lines up primarily in the slot, where the Eagles' defenders have had issues in coverage.

• Key Points:

  • If the Falcons are trailing, game script could favor more passing opportunities for Pitts, potentially leading to more receptions, especially in garbage time.

Summary of Best Bets:

1. Spread: Eagles -5.5 (-110)

2. Total: Over 46 (-110)

3. Prop: Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 Interceptions (-170)

4. Prop: Dallas Goedert Over 3.5 Receptions (-145)

5. Prop: Kyle Pitts Over 3.5 Receptions (-130)

These bets combine the anticipated game flow, team strengths and weaknesses, and individual player performance trends. The Eagles are the favored team to cover the spread due to their offensive and defensive advantages, while the Over and prop bets offer opportunities based on the players' usage and historical performances.