Good Morning,

Just some quick updates before we get into today’s bets!

For those of you who have been reading this newsletter for a while, you know that we’ve gone through a handful of format changes.

It is my believe that each one has been an improvement upon the other. I am once again changing how you receive the information.

We are removing most of the “game breakdown” and only providing betting and statistical information.

This is an effort to cut down the length of the email and to give you more of what you want which is high quality bets. These bets come with our A.I. giving you the statistical % chance it believes of the outcome.

If you were around in baseball season, you know how sharp our model can get as it learns this years teams, players, and matchups. NBA has started off slow but this week has really improved and it seems the model has turned a corner with its accuracy.

Please take a look at the bets and let me know how you like the new format!

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Cavs vs Nuggets

Best Bet:

• Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5: Given Cleveland’s strong home record (12-1) and their current form (7-3 in the last 10), they are likely to cover the spread of -4.5. They have been efficient offensively, and with Denver’s struggles on the road, it’s reasonable to expect the Cavs to win by more than 4 points.

Projected Score:

• Cleveland Cavaliers 122 - Denver Nuggets 115:

  • Cleveland’s offense is averaging 121.1 points per game in the last 10, and Denver is averaging 115.6. Both teams can score, and the total over/under line is 237.5, which fits with a high-scoring affair. Cleveland's superior offense and home-court advantage give them the edge in this projected high-scoring matchup.

% Odds of Outcome:

• Cleveland covers -4.5: 70%

  • Cleveland has been dominant at home and should cover the spread given their current form and Denver’s issues on the road.

• Over 237.5: 60%

  • Both teams are capable of putting up high scores, with both averaging over 115 points per game in the last 10. The over 237.5 is likely, given their scoring capabilities.

Mavs vs Wizards

Best Bet:

• Dallas Mavericks -14.5: Given Washington's ongoing struggles, especially defensively, and Dallas’ strong form (9-1 in the last 10), betting on Dallas to cover the large spread of -14.5 seems like a good choice. The Wizards have shown little ability to keep up with high-scoring teams, and Dallas has been firing on all cylinders.

Projected Score:

• Dallas Mavericks 125 - Washington Wizards 105:

  • Dallas has been averaging 122.6 points per game and is facing one of the league's weakest defenses. Washington has been allowing an average of 123.9 points per game, and with their ongoing struggles, it's likely Dallas will score efficiently. The Wizards will likely struggle to keep pace, especially with several key players hurt.

% Odds of Outcome:

• Dallas covers -14.5: 75%

  • Given the current disparity in form and talent, Dallas is heavily favored to cover the spread, particularly with Washington's defense leaking points and struggling to score.

• Over 232.5: 65%

  • With Dallas scoring efficiently and Washington allowing points at a high rate, this game has a good chance of hitting the over. Dallas should put up a significant amount of points, and Washington's offense, while not explosive, could contribute enough to push the total over 232.5.

Knicks vs Hornets

Best Bet:

• New York Knicks -14.5: Given the Hornets' struggles on the road and the absence of LaMelo Ball, it's likely that the Knicks will cover the large spread. They’ve been dominant against teams in the Eastern Conference, and the Hornets' recent form (2-8 in their last 10) makes them a significant underdog in this matchup.

Projected Score:

• New York Knicks 120 - Charlotte Hornets 102:

  • The Knicks have been scoring at a high pace (121.3 points per game in the last 10), while Charlotte’s offense is limited, especially without LaMelo Ball. The Knicks' defense has been solid, and the Hornets' offensive struggles should keep the game within the projected score range.

% Odds of Outcome:

• New York covers -14.5: 70%

  • With Charlotte's struggles and key injuries, the Knicks are highly favored to win by a significant margin and cover the spread of -14.5.

Thunder vs Raptors

Best Bet:

• Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5: Oklahoma City is favored by 9.5 points, and given the Raptors' struggles this season, including defensive inconsistencies and the loss of key players, it seems likely that the Thunder will cover this spread. They are in good form and have a strong, balanced team with key contributors like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

Projected Score:

• Oklahoma City Thunder 118 - Toronto Raptors 106:

  • Oklahoma City’s offense has been efficient (averaging 112.2 points in the last 10), while the Raptors are averaging 113.7 points but giving up 111.4 points per game. The Thunder’s fast breaks and perimeter shooting should give them an advantage in this matchup. Toronto may struggle to contain Oklahoma City's scoring power.

% Odds of Outcome:

• Oklahoma City covers -9.5: 65%

  • Given the Thunder's strong performance and Toronto's struggles this season, Oklahoma City is likely to cover the spread.

• Over 227.5: 60%

  • Both teams are capable of putting up points, and while Toronto has been scoring at a solid clip, the Thunder’s offense could lead to a total that exceeds the 227.5 over/under line.