Best Bets - 9/2/2024

Good Morning!

Hope you all are having a great Labor day. We’ve got the baseball simulations locked and loaded for today. Without further wait…

Matchup Preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Date/Time: Monday, 2:10 p.m. EDT
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Team Records:

• St. Louis Cardinals: 69-68, 3rd in NL Central

• Milwaukee Brewers: 80-57, 1st in NL Central

Pitching Probables:

• Cardinals: Andre Pallante (6-6, 3.80 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 68 strikeouts)

• Brewers: Freddy Peralta (9-7, 3.70 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 172 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Brewers -172, Cardinals +144

• Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+125), Cardinals +1.5 (-150)

• Total: Over 7.5 (+105), Under 7.5 (-125)

Brewers Overview:

Milwaukee is having a strong season, leading the NL Central with an 80-57 record. The Brewers have been particularly dominant at home, holding a 40-25 record. Freddy Peralta will be on the mound, bringing a solid 3.70 ERA and an impressive 172 strikeouts. The Brewers have a knack for power, with a 30-8 record in games where they hit at least two home runs.

Key Performers:

• William Contreras: Contreras leads the Brewers with a .281 batting average and has contributed 20 home runs and 80 RBI.

• Willy Adames: Adames is in hot form, going 14-for-41 with six home runs and 11 RBI in his last 10 games.

Cardinals Overview:

St. Louis enters this game with a 69-68 record, sitting third in the NL Central. They have struggled slightly on the road, with a 33-36 record away from Busch Stadium. Andre Pallante will start for the Cardinals, aiming to build on his 3.80 ERA. The Cardinals' pitching staff has a respectable 4.17 ERA, ranking ninth in the NL.

Key Performers:

• Alec Burleson: Burleson leads the team with 21 home runs and a .456 slugging percentage.

• Jordan Walker: Walker is coming off a huge game against the Yankees, where he recorded five hits in a 14-7 win.

Recent Form:

• Brewers: 7-3 in their last 10 games, hitting .257 with a strong 2.86 ERA, outscoring opponents by 33 runs.

• Cardinals: 6-4 in their last 10 games, hitting .290 with a 4.40 ERA, outscoring opponents by four runs.

Best Bet: Brewers Moneyline (-172)

Rationale: The Brewers have been in solid form and have the advantage of playing at home. With Freddy Peralta on the mound and the Brewers' ability to hit home runs, they look well-positioned to take the first game of this series. The Cardinals' road struggles and the Brewers' strong home record further support this pick.

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Matchup Preview: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Date/Time: Monday, 3:05 p.m. EDT
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Team Records:

• Chicago White Sox: 31-107, 5th in AL Central

• Baltimore Orioles: 79-59, 2nd in AL East

Pitching Probables:

• White Sox: Chris Flexen (2-13, 5.29 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 94 strikeouts)

• Orioles: Corbin Burnes (12-7, 3.23 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 150 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Orioles -389, White Sox +305

• Run Line: Orioles -2.5 (-105), White Sox +2.5 (-115)

• Total: Over 8.5 (+100), Under 8.5 (-120)

Orioles Overview:

Baltimore is looking to maintain their strong season, holding a 79-59 record and second place in the AL East. The Orioles have been solid at home, with a 39-30 record. Corbin Burnes takes the mound with an impressive 12-7 record, a 3.23 ERA, and 150 strikeouts. The Orioles boast the sixth-best team ERA in the AL at 3.94, which has been key to their success.

Key Performers:

• Anthony Santander: Leads the team with 39 home runs and a .520 slugging percentage.

• Colton Cowser: Has been contributing with 8 hits in his last 37 at-bats, including two home runs.

White Sox Overview:

The White Sox are struggling mightily this season, with a dismal 31-107 record and a 13-53 road record. Chris Flexen has had a tough season with a 5.29 ERA and a 2-13 record. The White Sox have struggled defensively, especially when allowing home runs, with a 17-83 record in such games.

Key Performers:

• Andrew Vaughn: Has 28 doubles and 15 home runs this season, providing some pop in an otherwise quiet lineup.

• Gavin Sheets: Recently hitting 11-for-38, giving a slight offensive spark.

Recent Form:

• Orioles: 5-5 in their last 10 games, struggling with a .198 batting average but maintaining a respectable 3.83 ERA.

• White Sox: 0-10 in their last 10 games, with a .218 batting average and a 5.40 ERA, outscored by 32 runs.

Best Bet: Orioles -2.5 (-105)

Rationale: The Orioles have a significant edge both on the mound and at the plate. Given the White Sox's poor road performance and recent struggles, Baltimore is favored to win by a wide margin. Corbin Burnes’ consistency and the Orioles' solid bullpen make them a strong pick to cover the run line.

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Matchup Preview: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

Date/Time: Monday, 4:10 p.m. EDT
Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Team Records:

• Cleveland Guardians: 78-59, 1st in AL Central

• Kansas City Royals: 75-63, 3rd in AL Central

Pitching Probables:

• Guardians: Gavin Williams (2-7, 4.99 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 58 strikeouts)

• Royals: Michael Wacha (11-6, 3.50 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 120 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Royals -114, Guardians -105

• Run Line: Royals +1.5 (-190), Guardians -1.5 (+160)

• Total: Over 7.5 (-125), Under 7.5 (+105)

Royals Overview:

The Kansas City Royals have been solid at home with a 41-28 record and are 75-63 overall. They boast the fifth-best team slugging percentage in the AL at .421. Michael Wacha, who has been reliable this season with an 11-6 record and a 3.50 ERA, will be on the mound, looking to extend the Royals' advantage in the season series against the Guardians.

Key Performers:

• Bobby Witt Jr.: Leading the Royals with 80 extra-base hits, including 39 doubles, 11 triples, and 30 home runs.

• Paul DeJong: Has been contributing recently, going 7-for-33 with three home runs and six RBI in his last 10 games.

Guardians Overview:

The Cleveland Guardians are leading the AL Central with a 78-59 record and have been decent on the road with a 35-34 record. Gavin Williams has struggled this season with a 4.99 ERA and a 2-7 record. However, the Guardians are strong when they score five or more runs, with a 57-8 record in such games.

Key Performers:

• Jose Ramirez: Leads the team with 34 home runs and a .531 slugging percentage.

• Josh Naylor: Has been performing well recently, with 11 hits in his last 37 at-bats, including a home run and nine RBI.

Recent Form:

• Royals: 3-7 in their last 10 games, hitting .225 with a 5.70 ERA, and have been outscored by 20 runs.

• Guardians: 5-5 in their last 10 games, hitting .268 with a 4.50 ERA, and have outscored opponents by three runs.

Best Bet: Royals Moneyline (-114)

Rationale: With Michael Wacha on the mound and the Royals' strong home record, Kansas City has the edge in this matchup. Gavin Williams' struggles this season could provide the Royals with an opportunity to continue their success against the Guardians, as they currently lead the season series 7-3.

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