Best Bets - 9/27/2024

Good Morning,

Yesterday’s college football 3 unit max bet cashed with ease! I sent the play out to all premium subscribers on earlier in the week saying that Army should handily cover the 13.5 spread and they made it a no sweat game.

The analytics are really starting to produce for college football. We are getting enough data to really paint a picture in each game and that will help us be more sharp as the season moves on.

Be sure to give our very affordable premium service a try so that you get all of the bets and can cash on the next 3 unit play with us!

Chicago White Sox (39-120) vs. Detroit Tigers (85-74)

Location: Detroit; Friday, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

• White Sox: Garrett Crochet (6-12, 3.68 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 203 strikeouts)

• Tigers: Casey Mize (2-6, 4.37 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 78 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Tigers -166, White Sox +140

• Over/Under: 7.5 (Over +110, Under -130)

• Run Line: White Sox +1.5 (-155), Tigers -1.5 (+130)

Game Breakdown:

The Detroit Tigers will look to continue their dominance against the Chicago White Sox, having already won 9 of the 10 meetings this season. The Tigers boast an impressive 85-74 record and rank second in the AL with a team ERA of 3.61. Detroit has also been solid at home, holding a 42-36 record at Comerica Park. Riley Greene is a key player for the Tigers with 24 home runs and a .483 slugging percentage.

The White Sox, however, are trying to extend their three-game win streak. Despite their poor road record of 16-62, Garrett Crochet has been a bright spot, posting a solid 3.68 ERA with 203 strikeouts. The White Sox have struggled to get hits, but Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi have been producing at the plate recently.

Top Performers:

• Tigers:

  • Riley Greene leads with 24 home runs and a .483 slugging percentage.

  • Kerry Carpenter has been solid, going 7-for-25 with two home runs and three RBI over the last 10 games.

• White Sox:

  • Andrew Vaughn has 30 doubles, 19 home runs, and 69 RBI.

  • Andrew Benintendi is 13-for-42 with three home runs and nine RBI over his last 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

• Tigers: 9-1, .239 batting average, 2.97 ERA, outscored opponents by 12 runs.

• White Sox: 5-5, .211 batting average, 2.96 ERA, outscored opponents by one run.

Best Bet:

• Tigers -1.5 (+130): Given the Tigers’ strong form, dominant season series record, and better overall pitching, they should have the edge to win by more than a run.

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Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) vs. Washington Nationals (69-90)

Location: Washington; Friday, 6:45 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

• Phillies: Ranger Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 143 strikeouts)

• Nationals: Trevor Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 54 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Phillies -186, Nationals +155

• Over/Under: 8.5 (Over +100, Under -120)

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (-110), Nationals +1.5 (-110)

Game Breakdown:

The Philadelphia Phillies, who are locked in at first in the NL East, visit the struggling Washington Nationals, who have lost three straight home games. The Phillies have been dominant against Washington this season, winning 8 of the 10 meetings, and they enter this game with a solid 94-65 record overall, though they have been just above average on the road at 40-38. Their offense has been productive, going 69-24 when collecting at least eight hits.

Meanwhile, the Nationals are aiming to break their three-game home skid. With a poor 36-42 home record, Washington will lean on Trevor Williams, who has been effective with a 2.19 ERA this season, though his sample size is limited. Offensively, they have struggled, especially in close games, posting a 14-23 record in one-run contests.

Top Performers:

• Nationals:

  • Keibert Ruiz has contributed with 21 doubles, 13 home runs, and 53 RBI while hitting .224 this season.

  • Juan Yepez has been a bright spot recently, hitting 10-for-36 with a double and a home run over his last 10 games.

• Phillies:

  • Alec Bohm continues to provide extra-base hits with 44 doubles, two triples, and 15 home runs.

  • Nicholas Castellanos has been on a tear, going 15-for-37 with three doubles and three home runs in the past 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

• Nationals: 1-9, .196 batting average, 4.91 ERA, outscored by 31 runs.

• Phillies: 4-6, .264 batting average, 4.86 ERA, outscored opponents by two runs.

Best Bet:

• Phillies -1.5 (-110): Philadelphia's offense and superior pitching give them a significant edge against a Nationals team struggling to generate offense. The Phillies have a strong head-to-head record and should be able to cover the spread.

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Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) vs. New York Yankees (93-66)

Location: New York; Friday, 7:05 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

• Pirates: Jared Jones (6-8, 4.14 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 125 strikeouts)

• Yankees: Carlos Rodon (16-9, 3.98 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 190 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Yankees -180, Pirates +150

• Over/Under: 8.5 (Over +105, Under -125)

• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (-130), Yankees -1.5 (+110)

Game Breakdown:

The New York Yankees, who sit at the top of the AL East, open a three-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday. New York has been strong at home with a 43-35 record at Yankee Stadium and boasts an overall 93-66 mark. Their team batting average of .249 is the fourth-best in the AL, and they’ve been on a solid streak, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a 2.57 team ERA and outscoring opponents by 32 runs.

The Pittsburgh Pirates, on the other hand, have had a tough season, sitting fifth in the NL Central. They’ve struggled on the road with a 35-43 record and have faltered defensively in games where they’ve allowed at least one home run, going 34-65 in such matchups. In their last 10 games, they’ve posted a 3-7 record, hitting just .224 while allowing a 4.76 ERA.

Top Performers:

• Yankees:

  • Jazz Chisholm has 19 doubles, four triples, and 23 home runs.

  • Aaron Judge has been red-hot, hitting 12-for-30 with two doubles and six home runs over the past 10 games.

• Pirates:

  • Oneil Cruz has contributed 34 doubles, three triples, and 21 home runs with 76 RBIs, hitting .263 on the season.

  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been effective recently, going 14-for-42 with five doubles over the last 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

• Yankees: 7-3, .247 batting average, 2.57 ERA, outscored opponents by 32 runs.

• Pirates: 3-7, .224 batting average, 4.76 ERA, outscored by 26 runs.

Best Bet:

• Yankees -1.5 (+110): With Carlos Rodon on the mound and the Yankees' offense in strong form, they’re well-positioned to cover the run line against a struggling Pirates team.

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