Best Bets - 9/24/2024

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Tampa Bay Rays (78-78) vs. Detroit Tigers (82-74)

Location: Detroit, Tuesday, 1:10 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

  • Rays: Ryan Pepiot (8-6, 3.64 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 131 strikeouts)

  • Tigers: Tarik Skubal (17-4, 2.48 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 221 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Tigers -181, Rays +152

  • Over/Under: 6.5 (Over -125, Under +105)

  • Run Line: Rays +1.5 (-155), Tigers -1.5 (+130)

Game Breakdown:

The Tampa Bay Rays are on a four-game winning streak and aim to continue that momentum against the Detroit Tigers, who are 39-36 at home this season. The Tigers have an excellent pitching staff, boasting the third-best team ERA in MLB at 3.64. Tarik Skubal has been outstanding with a 17-4 record and a 2.48 ERA, making him a tough matchup for the Rays.

The Rays have struggled on the road, going 36-39 away from home, but their pitching staff also ranks well, with a collective 3.80 ERA. Ryan Pepiot will take the mound for Tampa Bay, bringing solid numbers into this start.

Top Performers:

  • Tigers:

    • Riley Greene: 25 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs, .262 batting average.

    • Kerry Carpenter: 10-for-27 with two doubles, a triple, and three home runs in the last 10 games.

  • Rays:

    • Christopher Morel: 35 extra-base hits (11 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs).

    • Jonathan Aranda: 10-for-33 with four home runs and seven RBI in the last 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

  • Tigers: 7-3, .221 batting average, 3.26 ERA, outscored opponents by one run.

  • Rays: 7-3, .238 batting average, 2.15 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs.

Best Bet:

  • Under 6.5 (+105): Both teams have strong pitching, and with two starters who can dominate lineups, a low-scoring game seems likely.

___________

Cincinnati Reds (76-81) vs. Cleveland Guardians (90-67)

Location: Cleveland, Tuesday, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

  • Reds: Jakob Junis (4-0, 2.61 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, 48 strikeouts)

  • Guardians: Tanner Bibee (11-8, 3.56 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 180 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Guardians -165, Reds +140

  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -125, Under +105)

  • Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-150), Guardians -1.5 (+125)

Game Breakdown:

The Cleveland Guardians are looking to extend their strong home record of 48-28 as they host the Cincinnati Reds in a two-game series. Cleveland has been efficient at preventing home runs, going 43-18 in games where they didn't give up any long balls. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has had success hitting the ball out of the park, ranking seventh in the NL with 174 total home runs.

Tanner Bibee, with 180 strikeouts, will lead the Guardians' pitching, while Jakob Junis, still unbeaten with a 2.61 ERA, starts for the Reds. Both pitchers are capable of delivering quality outings, setting up an intriguing matchup.

Top Performers:

  • Guardians:

    • Andres Gimenez: 22 doubles, one triple, nine home runs.

    • Jose Ramirez: 13-for-39 with four doubles and three home runs over the past 10 games.

  • Reds:

    • Elly De La Cruz: 35 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs.

    • Jonathan India: 11-for-36 with two doubles, a triple, and a home run over the last 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

  • Guardians: 6-4, .230 batting average, 1.80 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs.

  • Reds: 5-5, .245 batting average, 5.22 ERA, outscored by six runs.

Best Bet:

  • Guardians -1.5 (+125): With Bibee on the mound and Cleveland's strong home form, this could be a game where the Guardians win by multiple runs.

____________________

Milwaukee Brewers (89-67) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (73-83)

Location: Pittsburgh, Tuesday, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

  • Brewers: Tobias Myers (8-6, 3.05 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 120 strikeouts)

  • Pirates: Bailey Falter (8-8, 4.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 92 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Brewers -141, Pirates +120

  • Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -130, Under +110)

  • Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+120), Pirates +1.5 (-145)

Game Breakdown:

The Milwaukee Brewers kick off a three-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates, looking to maintain their strong road form with a 44-34 record away from home. Milwaukee's offense has been consistent, batting .249 as a team, ranking fifth in the NL. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has been effective in games where they prevent home runs, holding a 40-18 record in such matchups.

The pitching duel features Tobias Myers for Milwaukee, who has been reliable with a 3.05 ERA, while Bailey Falter starts for Pittsburgh, holding a 4.15 ERA.

Top Performers:

  • Pirates:

    • Bryan Reynolds: 22 home runs, 54 walks, 85 RBI, .276 batting average.

    • Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 12-for-43 with four doubles in the last 10 games.

  • Brewers:

    • William Contreras: 23 home runs, 74 walks, 92 RBI, .285 batting average.

    • Jackson Chourio: 12-for-41 with two doubles, two triples, one home run, and seven RBI in the last 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

  • Pirates: 3-7, .239 batting average, 4.66 ERA, outscored by 27 runs.

  • Brewers: 5-5, .251 batting average, 4.90 ERA, outscored by three runs.

Best Bet:

  • Brewers Moneyline (-141): With Milwaukee having the better overall form and Tobias Myers in solid pitching form, backing the Brewers to win seems like a strong play.

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