Best Bets - 9/23/2024

Good Morning!

How about those bets last night huh?! We went 4-1 including cashing the +210 bet of Drake London Anytime TD.

I very rarely give a hard sell here, but if you want consistent daily bets that have been sharp in both baseball and football I really think you will like our premium subscription. You can try it for only $15. Come and cash with us!

There are only 4 MLB games today. I’ll have bets for each of them below. I will also hit you with another “PrimeTime Preview” for Monday Night Football tonight. We will see if we can keep the hot streak going!

Chicago Cubs (80-76) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (92-64)

Location: Philadelphia; Monday, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

• Cubs: Justin Steele (5-5, 3.03 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 132 strikeouts)

• Phillies: Aaron Nola (12-8, 3.54 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 183 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Phillies -178, Cubs +149

• Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -130, Under +110)

• Run Line: Cubs +1.5 (-145), Phillies -1.5 (+120)

Game Breakdown:

The Phillies, sitting comfortably at the top of the NL East, will host the Cubs in a three-game series. Philadelphia has been dominant at home with a 52-26 record, and they thrive when they hit multiple home runs, posting a 42-8 record in such games. Aaron Nola will take the mound, bringing a solid 3.54 ERA and 183 strikeouts.

The Cubs, meanwhile, are fighting to stay competitive in the NL Central. They are 38-40 on the road and have performed well when their offense fires, with a 60-11 record when scoring five or more runs. Justin Steele has been a reliable starter, posting a 3.03 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP, giving Chicago a solid chance to contend in this matchup.

Top Performers:

• Phillies:

  • Kyle Schwarber: 21 doubles, 36 home runs, 99 RBI, batting .249.

  • Trea Turner: 12-for-41 with a double and a home run in the last 10 games.

• Cubs:

  • Ian Happ: 25 home runs, .453 slugging percentage.

  • Michael Busch: 9-for-31 with four home runs and nine RBI in the last 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

• Phillies: 4-6, .231 batting average, 4.76 ERA, outscored by four runs.

• Cubs: 5-5, .285 batting average, 3.94 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs.

Best Bet:

• Over 7.5 (-130): Both teams have been hitting well lately, and with solid but hittable starters on the mound, the over looks like a good value play.

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Boston Red Sox (78-78) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (73-83)

Location: Toronto; Monday, 7:07 p.m. EDT

Pitching Matchup:

• Red Sox: Tanner Houck (8-10, 3.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 154 strikeouts)

• Blue Jays: Chris Bassitt (10-13, 4.16 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 166 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Blue Jays -118, Red Sox -101

• Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -125, Under +105)

• Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+165), Blue Jays +1.5 (-200)

Game Breakdown:

The Blue Jays are on a three-game home winning streak and will look to extend it against the Red Sox, who lead the season series 6-4. Toronto's home record sits at 38-37, and they excel when their offense produces, holding a 57-11 record when scoring five or more runs. Chris Bassitt takes the mound for Toronto, carrying a 4.16 ERA but a slightly inflated WHIP of 1.43, making this a challenging matchup against Boston.

Boston enters with an even 78-78 record and has been decent on the road, posting a 41-37 record. Tanner Houck has been a consistent pitcher for the Red Sox, with a strong 3.21 ERA and 154 strikeouts. Boston ranks seventh in MLB with 193 home runs, showcasing their power.

Top Performers:

• Blue Jays:

  • Ernie Clement: 21 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs, 49 RBI.

  • Davis Schneider: 9-for-36 with a triple and three home runs in the past 10 games.

• Red Sox:

  • Ceddanne Rafaela: 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs.

  • Triston Casas: 7-for-30 with four home runs and a double in the past 10 games.

Last 10 Games:

• Blue Jays: 4-6, .242 batting average, 3.10 ERA, outscored by three runs.

• Red Sox: 4-6, .210 batting average, 2.73 ERA, outscored opponents by six runs.

Best Bet:

• Under 7.5 (+105): With both teams sending capable pitchers to the mound and the recent trends pointing to lower-scoring games, the under presents good value in this matchup.

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