Best Bets - 8/25/2024

Good Morning,

Hope everyone is having a nice Sunday. We’ve got the Simulations ready to go! Let’s take a look:

Game Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

Date & Time: Sunday, 1:35 p.m. EDT

Location: Boston, Massachusetts

Team Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks

• Record: 74-56 (2nd in NL West)

• Road Record: 37-30

• Recent Form: The Diamondbacks are on a five-game winning streak and have been strong overall, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Their offense has been solid, outscoring opponents by 21 runs during this stretch.

• Top Performers:

  • Josh Bell: Bell has been a consistent power threat with 22 doubles, 18 home runs, and 60 RBI this season.

  • Corbin Carroll: Carroll has been hot recently, going 10-for-38 with two triples and three home runs over the last 10 games.

Boston Red Sox

• Record: 67-61 (3rd in AL East)

• Home Record: 29-34

• Recent Form: The Red Sox have struggled lately, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. Their pitching has been shaky, with a 5.41 ERA, and they’ve been outscored by 12 runs in this period.

• Top Performers:

  • Rafael Devers: Devers continues to be a key player for the Red Sox, hitting .293 with 33 doubles, 27 home runs, and 77 RBI.

  • Masataka Yoshida: Yoshida is in good form, hitting 14-for-33 with three doubles and two home runs in the last 10 games.

Pitching Matchup

Diamondbacks: Merrill Kelly (3-0, 3.63 ERA)

• Analysis: Kelly has been solid with a 3-0 record and a 3.63 ERA. His 1.10 WHIP indicates good control, and he’s been reliable in keeping runners off base.

Red Sox: Tanner Houck (8-8, 3.01 ERA)

• Analysis: Houck has been a standout for Boston with a 3.01 ERA and 135 strikeouts. Despite his 8-8 record, his WHIP of 1.15 shows he’s been effective at limiting baserunners.

Favorite Bet: Diamondbacks +1.5 Run Line (-175)

• Explanation: With the Diamondbacks’ current form and Kelly’s consistent pitching, they are likely to keep this game close, if not win outright. This line offers a safer bet with a decent return.

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Game Preview: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees

Date & Time: Sunday, 1:35 p.m. EDT

Location: New York, New York

Team Overview

Colorado Rockies

• Record: 48-82 (5th in NL West)

• Road Record: 19-49

• Recent Form: The Rockies have struggled this season, particularly on the road. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a .224 batting average and a 4.54 ERA. Despite this, they have a decent record when scoring five or more runs, going 33-18 in those games.

• Top Performers:

  • Ryan McMahon: McMahon has been a consistent performer with 24 doubles and 16 home runs.

  • Mike Toglia: Toglia has been in good form, going 10-for-31 with five doubles and two home runs in his last 10 games.

New York Yankees

• Record: 76-54 (1st in AL East)

• Home Record: 35-29

• Recent Form: The Yankees have been strong, going 6-4 in their last 10 games. Despite a low team batting average of .208 during this stretch, their pitching has been excellent, with a 2.54 ERA. They’ve outscored opponents by 14 runs over the last 10 games.

• Top Performers:

  • Aaron Judge: Judge continues to be a powerhouse, leading the Yankees with 49 home runs and a .725 slugging percentage.

  • Jazz Chisholm: Chisholm has been hot recently, going 10-for-26 with three home runs and four RBI over the past 10 games.

Pitching Matchup

Rockies: Austin Gomber (4-8, 4.64 ERA)

• Analysis: Gomber has had a challenging season with a 4-8 record and a 4.64 ERA. His 1.28 WHIP suggests that he has been somewhat effective in keeping runners off base, but consistency has been an issue.

Yankees: Marcus Stroman (8-6, 3.82 ERA)

• Analysis: Stroman has been solid for the Yankees with an 8-6 record and a 3.82 ERA. His 1.38 WHIP indicates that he can allow baserunners, but he often works out of jams effectively.

Favorite Bet: Yankees -1.5 Run Line (-130)

• Explanation: Given the Yankees' recent strong pitching and their offensive potential against Gomber, a win by two or more runs seems likely, making this bet attractive.

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Game Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins

Date & Time: Sunday, 1:40 p.m. EDT

Location: Miami, Florida

Team Overview

Chicago Cubs

• Record: 65-65 (2nd in NL Central)

• Road Record: 29-36

• Recent Form: The Cubs have been solid recently, going 6-4 in their last 10 games. They have a team batting average of .231 during this stretch, but their pitching has been strong with a 3.13 ERA. They’ve outscored their opponents by 14 runs over the last 10 games.

• Top Performers:

  • Ian Happ: Happ has been a key player for the Cubs with 27 doubles, a triple, and 23 home runs while batting .230.

  • Miguel Amaya: Amaya has been in good form recently, hitting 13-for-35 with three doubles and three home runs in his last 10 games.

Miami Marlins

• Record: 46-83 (5th in NL East)

• Home Record: 24-44

• Recent Form: The Marlins have struggled, losing their last five games and going 2-8 in their last 10. Their team ERA over the last 10 games has ballooned to 6.31, and they’ve been outscored by 28 runs.

• Top Performers:

  • Jake Burger: Burger has been a bright spot for Miami with 15 doubles, a triple, and 25 home runs this season.

  • Xavier Edwards: Edwards has been productive recently, going 11-for-36 with two doubles and a triple in his last 10 games.

Pitching Matchup

Cubs: Javier Assad (6-3, 3.11 ERA)

• Analysis: Assad has been a reliable starter for the Cubs this season, with a 3.11 ERA and 99 strikeouts. His 1.36 WHIP suggests he can allow baserunners, but he’s been effective in managing them.

Marlins: Adam Oller (0-1, 9.64 ERA)

• Analysis: Oller has had a tough season so far, with a 9.64 ERA and only two strikeouts. His 1.50 WHIP indicates that he’s struggled to keep runners off base, making this a challenging matchup for him.

Favorite Bet: Cubs -1.5 Run Line (-105)

• Explanation: Considering the Cubs' recent form and the Marlins' struggles, particularly with Oller on the mound, the Cubs winning by two or more runs seems likely. This bet offers a good balance of risk and return.

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