Best Bets - 8/27/2025

August 27, 2025

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Breakdown: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Date & Time: Wednesday, 1:10 p.m. EDT

Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Pitching Probables:

  • Rays: Drew Rasmussen (10-5, 2.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 108 strikeouts)

  • Guardians: Slade Cecconi (5-6, 4.41 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 79 strikeouts)

  • Cleveland Guardians:

    • 65-66 overall, 32-32 at home – mediocre performance at Progressive Field

    • Batting: .174 BA over last 10, outscored by 32 runs – offense is struggling badly

    • Situational edge: 40-21 when recording ≥8 hits – must hit well to stay competitive

  • Tampa Bay Rays:

    • 64-68 overall, 30-35 on the road – slightly below .500, inconsistent away

    • Batting: .253 BA last 10, outscored opponents by 4 runs – offense holding up

    • Slugging: .402 team SLG, 9th in AL – some pop to challenge Guardians

Key Players:

  • Guardians:

    • Jose Ramirez: 26 HR, 24 doubles – clear offensive anchor

    • Brayan Rocchio: 2 HR, 5 RBI last 10 – secondary contributor

  • Rays:

    • Brandon Lowe: 25 HR, 13 doubles – primary power threat

    • Junior Caminero: 5 HR in last 10 – hot hand recently

Pitching Matchup Notes:

  • Drew Rasmussen: 2.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP – elite control and consistency; tough for Guardians’ weak bats

  • Slade Cecconi: 4.41 ERA, 1.28 WHIP – vulnerable, especially against Rays with power potential

  • Edge: Rays – Rasmussen’s form and Cleveland’s offensive slump make Tampa Bay the clear pitching advantage

Betting Breakdown:

Moneyline:

  • Rays -133: Solid play – Rasmussen vs struggling Cecconi, Rays have slight road edge

  • Guardians +112: Only viable as a risky underdog, must hit early

Run Line:

  • Rays -1.5 +105: Good value if Rasmussen keeps Cleveland’s offense in check

  • Guardians +1.5 -125: Cheaper hedge, but Cleveland’s recent form makes covering unlikely

Over/Under:

  • 8 runs: Lean under – Rasmussen dominates, Guardians’ bats are cold; could be 3-1 or 4-2

Final Bet Recommendation:

  • Primary Pick (Moneyline): Rays -133 – Rasmussen’s dominance vs. struggling Guardians, strong probability of win