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- Best Bets - 8/13/2025
Best Bets - 8/13/2025
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Good Morning!
Our A.I. has cooked up a few more bets for today that I am really liking! Let’s take a look!
Free Bet of the Day
Breakdown: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Date & Time: Wednesday, 2:35 p.m. EDT
Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas
Pitching Probables:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Zac Gallen (9-12, 5.31 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 130 strikeouts)
Texas Rangers: Merrill Kelly (9-7, 3.37 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 131 strikeouts)
Team Records & Recent Trends:
Texas Rangers:
Record: 61-60 overall, 37-25 at home
Strengths: Rangers pitchers have a collective 3.31 ERA, leading MLB. They are particularly strong at home, where they have a winning record.
Recent Form: 4-6 in their last 10 games with a .236 batting average, 3.87 ERA, outscored by 6 runs. Offense has cooled off slightly recently, but pitching remains solid.
Arizona Diamondbacks:
Record: 58-62 overall, 28-32 on the road
Strengths: Second in the NL with 168 home runs, showing the ability to hit for power even on the road.
Recent Form: 7-3 in their last 10 games with a .275 batting average, 3.91 ERA, outscoring opponents by 18 runs. Diamondbacks are riding strong momentum into this matchup.
Key Players:
Texas Rangers:
Josh Smith: .268 average, 20 doubles, 9 home runs, 39 walks, 30 RBI
Kyle Higashioka: 10-for-34 over the last 10 games with 3 home runs and 5 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks:
Ketel Marte: 17 doubles, 22 home runs, key offensive contributor
Corbin Carroll: 11-for-41 over the last 10 games with 5 home runs, a hot bat heading into this matchup
Pitching Matchup Notes:
Zac Gallen has struggled this season, posting a 5.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, which could be exploited by a power-hitting Rangers lineup at home.
Merrill Kelly has been much more consistent, with a 3.37 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, and he’s comfortable pitching at home in Arlington. Kelly is more likely to limit Arizona’s power.
Betting Breakdown:
Moneyline:
Rangers -149: Home-field advantage and the pitching edge make Texas the clear favorite.
Diamondbacks +124: Arizona has been hot recently and could keep it close, offering good value for a potential upset.
Run Line:
Rangers -1.5 +120: With Kelly on the mound and the Rangers’ power at home, winning by more than one run is possible.
Diamondbacks +1.5 -145: If Gallen keeps it competitive, Arizona can cover the run line, especially with their hot offense.
Over/Under:
Over 8 runs: Both teams have shown power lately, and Gallen has struggled. The over is appealing if the Diamondbacks’ offense stays hot.
Under 8 runs: If Kelly dominates and the Rangers’ bats stall, the under is possible, but the recent scoring trends favor the over.
Final Bet Recommendation:
Moneyline: Rangers -149 – home advantage + pitching edge

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