Best Bets - 7/31/2024

Good Morning!

We’ve got 2 best bets dialed in for today. I shared the breakdown of the 2 games selected below. You can get the entire simulation results at the premium link below.

Best Bets:

TB Rays -1.5 (-110)

BAL Orioles -1.5 (-115)

Rays 4.3 - Marlins 2.8 - Simulations show the Rays winning 60.3% of the games. Rays are the home team and have the advantage on the mound. Taj Bradley is pitching for the Rays with a W/L of 6-4. He has an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.01. Roddery Munoz is pitching for the Marlins with a 1-5 record and an ERA of 5.61. His WHIP is 1.41. The simulations like the Rays and I tend to agree.

Blue Jays 3.1 - Orioles 4.4 - Simulations show the Orioles winning 61.6% of the 3000+ simulations I ran. Orioles are the home team and the better team. They have the advantage on the mound as Grayson Rodriguez sports a 12-4 record with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.23. Paolo Espino is pitching for the Blue Jays with a record of 0-0 and only a total of 4 innings pitched in the big leagues. His 4 innings resulted in an ERA of 7.71. I like the matchup here again as I really prefer home teams with favorable pitching matchups.

Bets are locked in!

-Caleb