Best Bets - 7/3/2025

July 03, 2025

Full Breakdown: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Pitching Matchup:

  1. New York Yankees - Clarke Schmidt (4-4, 3.09 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 72 strikeouts):

    • Schmidt has been effective with a 3.09 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, showing good control and ability to limit base runners. He has been a reliable part of the Yankees' rotation, but his strikeout rate is relatively modest, and he can sometimes be prone to giving up runs.

    • Key Strengths: Good ERA and control, can induce weak contact.

    • Key Weaknesses: Lower strikeout rate; can be vulnerable to long balls in certain matchups.

  2. Toronto Blue Jays - Chris Bassitt (7-4, 4.29 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 93 strikeouts):

    • Bassitt has had a solid season with a 4.29 ERA and 1.36 WHIP, but he’s prone to giving up runs due to his relatively high WHIP. Despite this, he’s managed to pick up wins, which reflects his ability to limit damage in high-pressure situations.

    • Key Strengths: Solid experience and the ability to limit walks.

    • Key Weaknesses: Prone to giving up runs in bursts, especially when facing high-power offenses.

Offensive Overview:

  1. New York Yankees:

    • Offense: The Yankees’ offense has been led by Aaron Judge, who continues to have an outstanding season with 31 home runs and 70 RBIs while hitting .363. However, their offense has been inconsistent lately, as reflected in their 4-6 record over the last 10 games and .241 batting average.

    • Key Performers: Judge is the star, but Cody Bellinger has also been a bright spot, hitting .311 with 6 RBIs over the last 10 games.

    • Key Strengths: Power in the lineup, especially with Judge and Bellinger.

    • Key Weaknesses: Inconsistent performance in recent games, as evidenced by their struggles in the last 10 games.

  2. Toronto Blue Jays:

    • Offense: The Blue Jays have a well-rounded lineup, with Bo Bichette leading the charge with 20 doubles, 11 home runs, and .271 batting average. George Springer has been hitting well recently, with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs over the last 10 games. The Blue Jays’ offense has been firing on all cylinders with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games and a .271 batting average.

    • Key Performers: Bichette and Springer are key offensive pieces, with solid performances from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as well.

    • Key Strengths: Balanced offense, capable of hitting for average and power.

    • Key Weaknesses: At times, they can be a little reliant on power to generate runs.

  1. New York Yankees:

    • Recent Form: The Yankees have been struggling recently, posting a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. They’ve been able to hit for power, but their .241 batting average shows they haven’t been as consistent. They’ve been outscored in the last 10 games, but Schmidt has been reliable.

    • Key Strengths: A strong bullpen, particularly in close games, and a high-power offense with Judge.

    • Key Weaknesses: Struggles with consistency in recent games, especially offensively.

  2. Toronto Blue Jays:

    • Recent Form: The Blue Jays have been on a solid run, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, including a strong .271 batting average. They’ve outscored their opponents by 14 runs, which reflects an improving offense. The pitching has been solid, and their recent win streak has been backed by consistent hitting.

    • Key Strengths: Balanced offense and strong home record.

    • Key Weaknesses: They can sometimes struggle to hit against top-tier pitchers, but overall their depth has been impressive.

Betting Recommendation:

Yankees ML