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Breakdown: Colorado Rockies vs. Baltimore Orioles

Date & Time: Sunday, 1:35 p.m. EDT

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

Pitching Probables:

• Colorado Rockies: Austin Gomber (0-4, 6.03 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 20 strikeouts)

• Baltimore Orioles: Tomoyuki Sugano (7-5, 4.54 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 63 strikeouts)

Team Records & Recent Trends:

• Baltimore Orioles:

  • Record: 46-58 overall, 23-26 at home

  • Strengths: The Orioles have a strong offensive lineup, ranking 9th in the AL for slugging percentage (.403). However, their recent performance has been inconsistent, with a 3-7 record in the last 10 games.

  • Recent Form: Their pitching staff has struggled, with a 5.72 ERA over the last 10 games. Despite this, they have managed to be competitive with their offensive capabilities.

• Colorado Rockies:

  • Record: 27-77 overall, 13-39 on the road

  • Strengths: The Rockies are in a tough spot with their record but have managed to perform better when they out-hit opponents, boasting an 18-9 record in such games. Their hitting has been solid, with a .266 batting average in the last 10 games.

  • Recent Form: Like the Orioles, the Rockies have had their share of struggles, with a 5-5 record in the last 10 games. Their pitching has been a weak point, with a 5.79 ERA over the last 10 games.

Key Players:

• Baltimore Orioles:

  • Gunnar Henderson: Hitting .281 with 24 doubles, 4 triples, and 11 home runs. Henderson has been a consistent presence in the Orioles lineup.

  • Ramon Laureano: Recently in good form, hitting 9-for-37 with 2 doubles and 4 home runs in the past 10 games.

• Colorado Rockies:

  • Hunter Goodman: Leads the Rockies with a .281 batting average, 19 doubles, 4 triples, and 18 home runs. Goodman has been a bright spot for the Rockies this season.

  • Mickey Moniak: 14-for-37 with 3 home runs and 8 RBI over the last 10 games, contributing well to the offense.

Betting Breakdown:

Moneyline:

• Orioles -209: The Orioles are clear favorites, even though their recent form has been inconsistent. They are playing at home and have a better overall record than the Rockies, who have struggled, particularly on the road.

• Rockies +172: The Rockies are underdogs, and their poor road record (13-39) and overall performance (27-77) make them a risky bet, despite their offensive potential in games where they out-hit their opponents.

Run Line:

• Orioles -1.5 -110: Given the disparity between the teams' records and the Rockies' struggles on the road, the Orioles are likely to cover the spread. Baltimore has been able to win by margins in the past when facing weaker opponents.

Over/Under:

• Over 10 runs: Both teams have seen high-scoring games in their recent matchups. The Orioles' pitching struggles (5.72 ERA in the last 10 games) and the Rockies' leaky pitching (5.79 ERA) suggest that the game could see plenty of runs. The over seems to be a good option here.

• Under 10 runs: Given the relatively low pitching performance of both teams, there is a risk the game could remain lower-scoring, particularly if Sugano can control the game for the Orioles. However, with both teams averaging decent offensive stats, this option seems less likely.

Betting Recommendation:

• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 -110

  • Given the Rockies' struggles and the Orioles' ability to win by margins, the Orioles should cover the spread.

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