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Breakdown: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Date & Time: Wednesday, 4:10 p.m. EDT

Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California

Pitching Probables:

• Minnesota Twins: Chris Paddack (3-9, 5.14 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 75 strikeouts)

• Los Angeles Dodgers: Tyler Glasnow (1-1, 3.10 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 34 strikeouts)

Team Records & Recent Trends:

• Los Angeles Dodgers:

  • Record: 59-43 overall, 34-21 at home

  • Strengths: The Dodgers are performing well overall and have a solid home record. Their offense is ranked second in the NL with a .255 batting average, and they also benefit from strong pitching with Glasnow starting on Wednesday.

  • Recent Form: The Dodgers have struggled in their last 10 games with a 3-7 record. However, they have been dominant at home, and with Glasnow on the mound, their pitching should be able to shut down the Twins' offense.

• Minnesota Twins:

  • Record: 49-52 overall, 21-32 on the road

  • Strengths: The Twins have a strong record when they hit eight or more hits (37-15). However, they have struggled on the road with a 21-32 record. Their offense has been fairly consistent, led by players like Byron Buxton.

  • Recent Form: The Twins have a .262 batting average in their last 10 games, going 5-5 in that stretch. While they have been somewhat consistent offensively, their pitching staff has struggled with a 4.66 ERA in their last 10 games.

Key Players:

• Los Angeles Dodgers:

  • Will Smith: Leading the team with a .325 batting average, Smith has 16 doubles, a triple, and 14 home runs.

  • Andy Pages: Has been hitting well recently, with two home runs and five RBI in the last 10 games.

• Minnesota Twins:

  • Byron Buxton: Leading the team with 23 home runs, Buxton has a .290 batting average and can provide a boost for the Twins with his power.

  • Kody Clemens: He has been solid in recent games with three home runs and a .273 batting average in the last 10 games.

Betting Breakdown:

Moneyline:

• Dodgers -198: The Dodgers are solid favorites here, given their overall record and strong home performance. With Glasnow on the mound and the team’s overall strength, this is a reasonable price for a team that has been one of the top contenders in the NL.

• Twins +163: The Twins are struggling on the road but have been decent when they hit well. However, with Paddack pitching and facing the Dodgers' offense and pitching staff, it will be tough for them to secure an upset.

Run Line:

• Dodgers -1.5 -105: Given the Dodgers’ strength at home and the presence of Glasnow on the mound, a 2-run victory seems likely, especially considering the Twins' struggles on the road. This is a solid option.

Over/Under:

• Over 8 runs: The Twins have shown they can score when they hit well, and while the Dodgers have strong pitching, their offense is potent enough to put up runs. The over seems like a reasonable pick.

• Under 8 runs: With Glasnow pitching for the Dodgers and Paddack’s inconsistency, there could be a solid pitching performance that keeps the runs low. The under is also a possibility, especially if Glasnow can limit the Twins' offense.

Betting Recommendation:

• Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 -105

  • Given the Twins' struggles on the road, the Dodgers should be able to cover the spread with a 2-run victory.

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