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Yesterday’s Premium bet of the day cashed sweat free! The MIN Twins took care of business easily for us giving us a nice evening!

Free Bet

Houston Astros (32-27) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (22-38)

Date/Time: Tuesday, 6:40 p.m. EDT
Location: Pittsburgh

Pitching Probables:

• Astros: Lance McCullers (0-1, 5.89 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 26 strikeouts)

• Pirates: Paul Skenes (4-5, 2.15 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 77 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Astros +123, Pirates -146

• Run Line: Pirates -1.5 +135

• Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Analysis:

Pittsburgh Pirates:

• The Pirates are 22-38 overall and 13-16 at home. They have been struggling in terms of both pitching and hitting, with a particularly poor record in games where they allow home runs (6-25 record).

• Paul Skenes has been a standout pitcher with a 2.15 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, which has kept the Pirates competitive despite their overall struggles. His ability to limit base runners and generate strikeouts will be key in this matchup.

• Offensively, Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with 12 home runs, while Andrew McCutchen has been solid in recent games, hitting 2 home runs and driving in 4 RBIs in the last 10 games.

• Despite their offensive inconsistencies, the Pirates have been competitive in their last 10 games, boasting a .272 batting average and a 3.89 ERA.

Houston Astros:

• The Astros have a solid 32-27 record overall but have struggled on the road with a 10-15 record.

• Lance McCullers will start for the Astros, but his 5.89 ERA and 1.69 WHIP indicate that he has had issues limiting damage and controlling games. This could be a vulnerability for the Astros, especially given the Pirates' offensive resurgence in the last 10 games.

• Jeremy Pena has been the top hitter for the Astros with a .309 batting average and solid power (9 home runs, 9 doubles). Jose Altuve has also been productive, with 5 home runs and 8 RBIs over the past 10 games. The Astros’ offense has been efficient, with a .288 batting average and solid 4.50 ERA in the last 10 games, but their road struggles persist.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Pirates -146 are favored, but with McCullers’ struggles on the mound, the Astros +123 could provide solid value. Skenes’ strong pitching gives the Pirates an edge, but the Astros’ offense could put up a fight.

• Run Line: The Pirates -1.5 +135 offers value here, considering Skenes’ dominance and the Astros’ struggles with McCullers on the mound. With the Pirates’ pitching edge and their home advantage, they should be able to cover the spread.

• Total: The under 7.5 runs is a reasonable bet, considering both pitchers' strong performances. While the Astros have a potent offense, Skenes' dominance and McCullers' struggles could balance things out, resulting in a lower-scoring game.

Conclusion:

• Pirates ML is a solid pick, as Skenes’ pitching and the Pirates’ home-field advantage make them likely to win the game.

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