Best Bets - 6/18/2025

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Good Morning!

We’ve ran our A.I. simulations and sifted through all of today’s matchups to come up with a few best bets for the evening!

As always, I’ll drop the first one here for free!

Free Bet of the Day

Pittsburgh Pirates (29-45, 5th in the NL Central) vs. Detroit Tigers (47-27, 1st in the AL Central)
Date/Time: Wednesday, 6:40 p.m. EDT
Location: Detroit, Michigan

Pitching Probables:

  • Pirates: Andrew Heaney (3-5, 3.33 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 59 strikeouts)

  • Tigers: Tarik Skubal (7-2, 1.99 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 111 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Tigers -303, Pirates +241

  • Over/Under: 7 runs

  • Run Line: Tigers -1.5 -130

Analysis:

Pittsburgh Pirates:

  • Record: 29-45 overall, 10-26 on the road

  • Recent Performance: The Pirates have struggled on the road with a 10-26 record. Despite their 2.45 ERA over the past 10 games, their offense has struggled with a .204 batting average in that stretch.

  • Strengths: Their pitching, especially from Andrew Heaney, has kept them in games with a solid 3.33 ERA on the season, but the offense remains inconsistent. They have a 19-8 record when out-hitting opponents.

  • Key Players:

    • Andrew McCutchen: 12 doubles, 7 home runs, and 26 RBI.

    • Spencer Horwitz: 9 for 34 with 3 doubles over the last 10 games.

Detroit Tigers:

  • Record: 47-27 overall, 25-11 at home

  • Recent Performance: The Tigers have been performing well, with a 6-4 record in the last 10 games, despite being outscored by 7 runs. Their pitching remains dominant, ranking second in the AL with a 3.34 ERA.

  • Strengths: Skubal has been one of the best pitchers for Detroit with a 1.99 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Their offense is led by Riley Greene, and they can put up runs when necessary.

  • Key Players:

    • Riley Greene: .278 batting average, 17 doubles, 15 home runs, and 51 RBI.

    • Javier Baez: 14 for 37 with 3 home runs and 6 RBI over the last 10 games.

Betting Recommendations:

Run Line:

  • Tigers -1.5 -130: The Tigers should win by at least two runs. Their offense is capable of breaking through Pittsburgh's defense, and their strong pitching will hold down the Pirates' offense.

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