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The St. Louis Cardinals (32-24) will face the Texas Rangers (27-30) on Friday at 8:05 p.m. EDT in Arlington, Texas.

Starting Pitchers:

• Cardinals: Matthew Liberatore (3-3, 2.73 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 51 strikeouts)

• Rangers: Jack Leiter (3-2, 4.17 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 30 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Cardinals -125, Rangers +112

• Over/Under: 9 runs

Analysis:

• Cardinals’ Strengths:

  • The Cardinals have a strong 32-24 overall record, though they’ve struggled on the road with a 13-16 record. Despite this, they have been a solid offensive team, ranking 10th in the NL for home runs (52 total).

  • Matthew Liberatore has been excellent with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. He has been able to limit base runners and generate strikeouts, which will be key in keeping the Rangers’ offense in check.

  • Brendan Donovan has been a standout for the Cardinals, hitting .335 with 4 home runs and 24 RBIs. Masyn Winn is also contributing, with 12 hits and 5 RBIs in the past 10 games.

• Rangers’ Strengths:

  • The Rangers have a solid 18-12 home record but have been inconsistent overall with a 27-30 record. They have a 19-9 record in games when they don't allow a home run, showing their ability to control power-hitting teams.

  • Jack Leiter has been decent with a 4.17 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, but he can be prone to giving up runs. His inconsistency could leave him vulnerable to the Cardinals' lineup.

  • Wyatt Langford and Jake Burger are key offensive players, with Langford contributing 17 extra-base hits, including 10 home runs. Jake Burger has been productive with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs over the last 10 games.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Cardinals -125 are favored in this matchup, and with Liberatore’s solid form and the Cardinals’ strong offense, they appear to have the edge. Rangers +112 offer some value, but their struggles in recent games (2-8 in the last 10) and Leiter's inconsistency make the Cardinals the safer pick.

• Run Line: The Cardinals -1.5 at +155 is a great value, especially considering their strong pitching and offensive depth. The Rangers +1.5 at -180 is a safer option if you expect a close game, but the Cardinals should be able to cover the spread with Liberatore on the mound.

• Total: The over/under is set at 9 runs. Given Liberatore’s form and the Rangers’ offensive inconsistency, betting on the under 9 runs could be a good option. Leiter’s struggles and Liberatore’s ability to limit runs suggest that this game may not hit the over.

Conclusion: Betting on the Cardinals to win at -125

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