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- Best Bets - 5/28/2025
Best Bets - 5/28/2025
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Good Morning!
We finished off another undefeated day yesterday with our bets. Our A.I. continues to be the best in the business for MLB betting.
The Boston Red Sox (27-30) will face the Milwaukee Brewers (28-28) on Wednesday at 1:10 p.m. EDT in Milwaukee.
Starting Pitchers:
Red Sox: Brayan Bello (2-1, 4.08 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 27 strikeouts)
Brewers: Freddy Peralta (5-3, 2.55 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 60 strikeouts)
Betting Lines:
Moneyline: Brewers -145, Red Sox +132
Over/Under: 8 runs
Analysis:
Brewers’ Strengths:
The Brewers have a solid 17-10 home record and are 28-28 overall. They have been excellent when out-hitting their opponents, with a 19-5 record in those games.
Freddy Peralta has been one of the Brewers' top pitchers with a 2.55 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts, which means he can dominate opposing hitters and could be difficult for the Red Sox to score against.
Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 10 home runs and has been a steady presence in their lineup. Rhys Hoskins is also heating up with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs in the last 10 games.
Red Sox’s Strengths:
The Red Sox have struggled on the road, going 11-16, but they are still a powerful offensive team, ranking 4th in the AL with 69 home runs. They average 1.2 home runs per game, so they can put up big numbers when the ball is flying out of the park.
Brayan Bello has been solid with a 4.08 ERA and 1.70 WHIP, but his control issues (reflected in his high WHIP) can leave him vulnerable to powerful lineups like the Brewers. He’ll need to limit walks and control the game early to keep the Brewers from exploiting his weaknesses.
Rafael Devers continues to be a standout with 15 doubles and 12 home runs, and Abraham Toro has been productive with 3 home runs in the last 10 games.
Betting Recommendations:
Moneyline: The Brewers -145 are the favorites here, and with Peralta’s dominant form and the Brewers’ strong home record, they are the safer pick. The Red Sox +132 offer value as underdogs, especially considering their offensive power, but Peralta’s pitching advantage makes the Brewers the better choice.
Run Line: The Brewers -1.5 at +155 could be a good option, especially with Peralta on the mound. The Red Sox +1.5 at -175 offers a safer bet if you expect a closer game, but the Brewers should likely cover the spread, considering their pitching advantage.
Total: The over/under is set at 8 runs. Given Peralta’s strong pitching and the Red Sox’s offensive inconsistency on the road, betting on the under 8 runs could be a solid option. The Red Sox may struggle to score off Peralta, and Bello’s high WHIP could keep the Brewers’ offense in check.
Conclusion: Betting on the Brewers to win at -145

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