Best Bets - 5/25/2025

May 25, 2025

Good Afternoon,

The Milwaukee Brewers (25-28) will face the Pittsburgh Pirates (19-34) on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. EDT in Pittsburgh.

Starting Pitchers:

  • Brewers: Logan Henderson (3-0, 1.69 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 23 strikeouts)

  • Pirates: Bailey Falter (3-3, 3.50 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 39 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Brewers -134, Pirates +114

  • Over/Under: 8.5 runs

Analysis:

  • Brewers’ Strengths:

    • The Brewers have been solid with a 25-28 record overall and have a 10-1 record in games when they hit at least two home runs. Their offense has been inconsistent, but they can be explosive when they hit for power.

    • Logan Henderson has been excellent with a 1.69 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, which gives the Brewers a significant edge on the mound. His control and strikeout ability should limit the Pirates' offense.

    • Jackson Chourio has been a key contributor with 7 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins is heating up with 3 home runs and a .371 average over the last 10 games.

  • Pirates’ Strengths:

    • The Pirates have struggled overall with a 19-34 record, but they have been decent at home with a 13-15 record. Their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with an 8th-ranked team ERA in the NL at 3.99.

    • Bailey Falter has been solid with a 3.50 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. While not as dominant as Henderson, he has been effective in keeping the Pirates in games.

    • Bryan Reynolds has been the top performer for the Pirates, hitting .300 with 6 home runs and 27 RBIs. Oneil Cruz has also contributed with 2 home runs in the last 10 games.

Betting Recommendations:

  • Moneyline: The Brewers -134 are the favorites, and with Logan Henderson’s elite pitching and the Brewers’ offense potentially finding power, they are the safer pick. The Pirates +114 offer value as underdogs, but with Henderson’s strong form, the Brewers are more likely to come out on top.

  • Total: The over/under is set at 8.5 runs. Given Henderson’s dominance on the mound and the Pirates’ pitching strength, betting on the under 8.5 runs seems like the safer option, especially if Falter can keep the Brewers’ offense in check.

Conclusion: Betting on theunder 8.5 runs offers strong value