Best Bets - 5/23/2025

Good Afternoon,

We’ve got a great weekend of baseball ahead! We are kicking Friday off with 2 bets.

Free Bet

The Philadelphia Phillies (32-18) will face the Oakland Athletics (22-29) on Friday at 10:05 p.m. EDT in West Sacramento, California.

Starting Pitchers:

  • Phillies: Zack Wheeler (5-1, 2.67 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 80 strikeouts)

  • Athletics: Jeffrey Springs (5-3, 3.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 41 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Phillies -185, Athletics +154

  • Run Line: Phillies -1.5 -120

  • Over/Under: 9.5 runs

Analysis:

  • Phillies’ Strengths:

    • The Phillies are in strong form with a 32-18 record and 15-10 on the road. They are hitting .263, which ranks second in MLB for team batting average, making them a formidable offensive threat.

    • Zack Wheeler has been outstanding with a 2.67 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 80 strikeouts. His elite pitching should give the Phillies a significant edge over the Athletics.

    • Bryce Harper is having an excellent season, hitting .275 with 8 home runs and 32 RBIs. Nick Castellanos has also been solid, contributing with 2 doubles and a .300+ batting average over the last 10 games.

  • Athletics’ Struggles:

    • The Athletics have been struggling with a 22-29 record, including a poor 8-17 record at home. They have a 7.52 ERA over the last 10 games, indicating issues with pitching and defense.

    • Jeffrey Springs has a decent 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, but he has not been as dominant as Wheeler. Springs will need to pitch a near-perfect game to keep the Athletics in this matchup.

    • Jacob Wilson has been a standout for the Athletics with 5 home runs and a .342 average, while Miguel Andujar has contributed with 4 RBIs in the last 10 games. However, their individual efforts have not been enough to make the Athletics competitive lately.

Betting Recommendations:

  • Moneyline: The Phillies -185 are the favorites, and with Zack Wheeler’s elite pitching, they are the safe pick. The Athletics +154 may provide value for underdog bettors, but their struggles, particularly on the mound, make them a risky pick.

  • Run Line: The Phillies -1.5 -120 looks like a good option, especially with Wheeler’s dominant pitching and the Athletics’ struggles. The Athletics +1.5 could offer value if you expect a closer game, but the Phillies should have the edge.

  • Total: The over/under is set at 9.5 runs. Given the Athletics' pitching struggles and the Phillies' strong offense, betting on the over 9.5 runs could be a reasonable choice. The Phillies are likely to score in bunches, and while Wheeler may limit runs, the Athletics' poor pitching could result in a higher-scoring game.

Conclusion: Betting on the Phillies -1.5 at -120 offers solid value

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