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The Cincinnati Reds (24-24) will face the Pittsburgh Pirates (15-32) on Monday at 6:40 p.m. EDT in Pittsburgh.

Starting Pitchers:

• Reds: Nick Lodolo (3-4, 3.42 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 42 strikeouts)

• Pirates: Mitch Keller (1-5, 4.15 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 43 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Reds -129, Pirates +108

• Over/Under: 8 runs

Analysis:

• Reds’ Strengths:

  • The Reds are at .500 with a 24-24 record and have been decent on the road with an 11-12 record. They’ve shown a strong offensive output in games where they record at least 8 hits, holding an 18-8 record in such games.

  • Nick Lodolo has been solid with a 3.42 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, and he provides a distinct pitching advantage over Keller, especially considering Lodolo’s ability to control the game and generate strikeouts.

  • Players like Gavin Lux (hitting .291 with 11 doubles and 19 RBIs) and Will Benson (hitting 5 home runs and driving in 11 RBIs in the last 10 games) have been key contributors to the Reds’ offense.

• Pirates’ Struggles:

  • The Pirates have struggled mightily this season with a 15-32 record and a 9-13 home record. Their offense has been inconsistent, evidenced by a .204 batting average in the last 10 games.

  • Mitch Keller has a 4.15 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, and while not terrible, he has struggled in terms of consistency, especially when facing a solid offensive team like the Reds.

  • Oneil Cruz has been a bright spot with 8 home runs and 18 RBIs, and Alexander Canario has contributed well in the past 10 games with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs, but their individual efforts have not been enough to overcome the Pirates' overall struggles.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Reds -129 are favored, and with Lodolo's solid form on the mound and the Reds’ offensive consistency, they are the safer pick. The Pirates +108 could offer some value, particularly if you expect Keller to outperform his ERA, but the Reds’ depth and Lodolo’s pitching make them the stronger choice.

• Total: The over/under is set at 8 runs. Given the Pirates’ offensive struggles and the Reds’ ability to produce runs, betting on the under 8 runs might be the safer choice, especially if Lodolo has a strong outing.

• Run Line: The Reds -1.5 (+145) could be a good bet, especially if you expect them to capitalize on Keller’s inconsistency and the Pirates’ overall struggles. The Pirates +1.5 (-170) might be safer if you think the game could stay closer, but the Reds should have the edge in this matchup.

Conclusion: Betting on the Reds ML

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