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- Best Bets - 5/12/2025
Best Bets - 5/12/2025
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Free Bet
The Miami Marlins (15-24) will face the Chicago Cubs (23-18) on Monday at 7:40 p.m. EDT in Chicago.
Starting Pitchers:
Marlins: Cal Quantrill (2-3, 7.11 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 22 strikeouts)
Cubs: Colin Rea (2-0, 2.43 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 25 strikeouts)
Betting Lines:
Moneyline: Cubs -250, Marlins +204
Run Line: Cubs -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Analysis:
Cubs’ Strengths:
The Cubs are in good form with a 23-18 overall record and a 10-9 record at home. Their offense has been strong with a .438 slugging percentage, ranking 3rd in MLB.
Colin Rea has been excellent with a 2.43 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. His ability to limit walks and strike out batters gives the Cubs an advantage on the mound.
Key players like Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong have been performing well. Tucker has 10 home runs and a .269 average, while Crow-Armstrong has hit 4 home runs in the last 10 games.
Marlins’ Struggles:
The Marlins are struggling with a 15-24 record and have had significant road woes, going 5-12 on the road. They have only been successful in 10 of 16 games when scoring at least 5 runs, highlighting their overall offensive inconsistency.
Cal Quantrill has had a tough time with a 7.11 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. His struggles will be a concern against a strong Cubs lineup.
Players like Kyle Stowers (7 home runs) and Dane Myers (2 home runs) have been contributors, but the Marlins have been outscored by 23 runs in their last 10 games, indicating they’ve struggled both offensively and defensively.
Betting Recommendations:
Moneyline: The Cubs -250 are heavily favored, and with Rea’s strong pitching and the Marlins’ struggles on the road, the Cubs are the safe pick here. The Marlins at +204 provide value as underdogs but would be a risk due to their pitching issues.
Run Line: The Cubs -1.5 (-115) seems like a solid choice, considering their pitching advantage and the Marlins’ struggles. The Marlins +1.5 (+105) could be a value bet if you expect a closer game, but the Cubs should likely cover the spread.
Total: The over/under is set at 8.5 runs. Given the Marlins’ pitching issues and the Cubs’ strong offense, betting on the over might be a reasonable choice, especially with both teams capable of scoring.
Conclusion: Betting on the Cubs -1.5 at -115 offers good value, given the Cubs’ advantage in both pitching and offense.
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