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The St. Louis Cardinals (5-6) will face the Pittsburgh Pirates (4-8) in a Wednesday afternoon game at 12:35 p.m. EDT, with the series tied 1-1.

Starting Pitchers:

• Cardinals: Erick Fedde (1-1, 7.00 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3 strikeouts)

• Pirates: Mitch Keller (1-1, 7.45 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, 8 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Cardinals -117, Pirates -102

• Run Line: Cardinals -1.5 (+145), Pirates +1.5 (-175)

• Over/Under: 8 runs

Analysis:

• Cardinals' Strengths:

  • The Cardinals have a strong batting lineup, leading MLB with a .289 team batting average. Players like Lars Nootbaar and Brendan Donovan have been key contributors in the last 10 games. Despite their offensive strength, they have struggled on the road (1-4 record).

• Pirates' Strengths:

  • The Pirates have shown resilience in games where they score 5 or more runs, having a 2-0 record in those instances. However, their offense has been less effective overall, ranking 29th in batting average (.211) in the past 10 games. Mitch Keller, despite a rough start to the season (7.45 ERA), will need to find his rhythm.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Cardinals are favored at -117, but both teams have been struggling, especially in pitching. Betting on the Pirates as slight underdogs at -102 could provide value, particularly if they have the opportunity to capitalize on Fedde’s struggles.

• Run Line: The Cardinals at -1.5 (+145) offer an intriguing opportunity, especially given their offensive firepower. If their pitching staff can outperform Keller, this bet has significant potential.

• Total: With an over/under of 8 runs, betting on the over could be a smart play. Both teams have been inconsistent on defense, and the Cardinals’ potent offense should be able to generate runs.

Conclusion: Given the Cardinals' strong offense and Keller’s struggles, taking the over 8 runs seems like a solid choice for this matchup.

Bet: Over 8 runs

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