Best Bets - 4/29/2025

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We’ve got a few best bets to take a look at today!

Free Bet

The St. Louis Cardinals (12-17) will face the Cincinnati Reds (16-13) on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. EDT in Cincinnati, with the Reds leading the series 1-0.

Starting Pitchers:

  • Cardinals: Miles Mikolas (0-2, 5.70 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 13 strikeouts)

  • Reds: Brady Singer (4-0, 3.62 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 32 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

  • Moneyline: Reds -136, Cardinals +115

  • Over/Under: 9.5 runs

Analysis:

  • Reds’ Strengths:

    • The Reds are 16-13 overall and have been solid at home with a 7-6 record. They are 6-3 in games where they did not give up a home run, showcasing their pitching ability in those situations.

    • Brady Singer has been outstanding with a 4-0 record, 3.62 ERA, and 1.13 WHIP. His solid pitching will be a major advantage over Mikolas’ struggles.

    • Offensively, players like Gavin Lux (leading with a .352 batting average) and Noelvi Marte (3 home runs and 16 RBIs in the last 10 games) have been key contributors.

  • Cardinals’ Struggles:

    • The Cardinals have a 12-17 record and have been poor on the road, with a 2-12 road record. They also rank 10th in the NL with a 4.34 team ERA, which is concerning against a Reds team with strong offensive firepower.

    • Miles Mikolas has been struggling with a 5.70 ERA and 1.52 WHIP, which makes it difficult for him to keep up with the Reds' strong lineup.

    • Lars Nootbaar and Willson Contreras have been performing well for the Cardinals, but their offense may not be enough to compensate for Mikolas’ pitching struggles.

Betting Recommendations:

  • Moneyline: The Reds are favored at -136, and with Singer’s strong pitching form and the Cardinals’ struggles on the road, the Reds are the safer pick. The Cardinals at +115 might offer some value if you believe Mikolas can turn things around, but the Reds' advantage on the mound and offense makes them the stronger choice.

  • Total: The over/under is set at 9.5 runs. Considering Mikolas' pitching struggles and the Reds' strong offense, betting on the over could be a good option, especially given how both teams have been scoring and allowing runs recently.

Conclusion: Betting on the Reds to win

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