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The Colorado Rockies (4-18) will face the Kansas City Royals (10-14) on Thursday at 2:10 p.m. EDT in Kansas City. - GAME 1

Starting Pitchers:

• Rockies: German Márquez (0-3, 8.27 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, 11 strikeouts)

• Royals: Cole Ragans (1-1, 3.58 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 42 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Royals -237, Rockies +196

• Run Line: Royals -1.5 (-115), Rockies +1.5 (-105)

• Over/Under: 8 runs

Analysis:

• Royals’ Strengths:

  • The Royals have a strong home record (7-4) and an 8-1 record when they out-hit their opponents. They also have a solid pitcher in Cole Ragans with a 3.58 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, making him a reliable option on the mound.

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has been a key offensive contributor, with 2 home runs and a .473 slugging percentage.

  • Despite a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, the Royals have shown that they can capitalize on their home-field advantage.

• Rockies’ Struggles:

  • The Rockies are struggling both at home and on the road, with a 1-12 road record and a dismal 4-18 overall record. German Márquez has been struggling with a 8.27 ERA and 1.84 WHIP, which is concerning against a Royals team that can take advantage of pitching inconsistencies.

  • Offensively, the Rockies have been inconsistent, with players like Brenton Doyle showing some promise (3 home runs), but overall, their team has posted a .178 batting average over the last 10 games.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Royals are heavy favorites at -237, and given Márquez’s struggles and the Rockies' poor form, the Royals are the safer bet. The Rockies at +196 offer value if you're looking for an underdog play, but it would come with higher risk.

• Run Line: The Royals at -1.5 (-115) look like a good option, especially considering their ability to out-hit opponents and Márquez's struggles. The Rockies +1.5 (-105) might offer better value if you expect a closer game, but the Royals' offensive and pitching advantages make them the stronger pick.

• Total: The over/under is set at 8 runs. Given both teams' offensive issues (particularly the Rockies’ struggles), betting on the under could be a good choice, especially with Márquez's poor pitching form and Ragans' solid performance.

Conclusion: Royals -1.5

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