Yo!

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The San Diego Padres (16-7) will face the Detroit Tigers (14-9) on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. EDT in Detroit. The Tigers lead the series 1-0.

Starting Pitchers:

• Padres: Nick Pivetta (3-1, 1.57 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 24 strikeouts)

• Tigers: Jack Flaherty (1-1, 2.53 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 25 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Tigers -115, Padres -104

• Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Analysis:

• Padres’ Strengths:

  • The Padres have a strong overall record (16-7) but have struggled on the road with a 4-6 record. They rank second in the NL for team ERA at 2.90, showcasing their dominance on the mound.

  • Nick Pivetta has been outstanding with a 1.57 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, making him one of the best pitchers for the Padres this season.

  • Offensively, Fernando Tatis Jr. continues to perform at an elite level, leading the team with 8 home runs.

• Tigers’ Strengths:

  • The Tigers have been excellent at home with a 9-2 record and a solid 14-9 overall performance. Their pitching staff has been effective, ranking 11th in the MLB with a 3.31 ERA.

  • Jack Flaherty has been performing well with a 2.53 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, giving the Tigers a reliable option on the mound.

  • Spencer Torkelson and Kerry Carpenter have been offensive leaders, with Torkelson providing power and Carpenter contributing with consistency.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Tigers are favored at -115, but given the Padres’ strong pitching and Tatis’ offensive prowess, the Padres at -104 might provide better value, particularly if you believe Pivetta can neutralize the Tigers’ hitters.

• Total: The over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Both teams have strong pitching staff (Padres with a 2.90 team ERA and Tigers with a 3.31 ERA), which suggests that betting on the under 7.5 runs might be a good choice.

Conclusion: Betting on the under 7.5 runs offers good value, considering the Padres’ pitching edge with Pivetta and the likely low-scoring nature of this game.

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