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Free Bet

The Philadelphia Phillies (13-9) will face the New York Mets (15-7) on Monday at 7:10 p.m. EDT in New York.

Starting Pitchers:

• Phillies: Aaron Nola (0-4, 6.65 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 25 strikeouts)

• Mets: Tylor Megill (2-2, 1.40 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 20 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Mets -120, Phillies +100

• Over/Under: 8 runs

Analysis:

• Mets’ Strengths:

  • The Mets have been dominant at home with a 9-1 record and a 15-7 overall record. They have an impressive 9-0 record when scoring at least five runs, which highlights their offensive firepower.

  • Tylor Megill has been one of the best pitchers for the Mets, posting a strong 1.40 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. His control and ability to limit damage should give the Mets an edge.

  • Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been key offensive performers for the Mets, with Alonso leading the team in extra-base hits and Lindor contributing with power and consistency.

• Phillies’ Strengths:

  • The Phillies have had mixed results on the road, with a 4-5 record. However, they’ve been able to win games when out-hitting their opponents, boasting an 8-0 record in such scenarios.

  • Aaron Nola has struggled this season, posting a 6.65 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. His struggles on the mound could be problematic against a potent Mets lineup.

  • Bryce Harper has been a key offensive leader, with 5 home runs and 14 RBIs. Bryson Stott has also been a consistent performer with a solid average and extra-base hits.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Mets are favored at -120, and given Nola’s struggles and Megill’s strong form, the Mets appear to be the safer pick, especially with their excellent home record.

• Run Line: The Mets at -1.5 (+160) could offer good value, considering their strong home record and Nola's inconsistency. The Phillies' +1.5 (-200) would be a safer bet, given that the game could be close, but it doesn’t offer as much upside.

• Total: The over/under is set at 8 runs. Given the offensive strengths of both teams and Nola's struggles on the mound, betting on the over could be a good choice.

Conclusion: Betting on the Mets to win

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