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The Washington Nationals (7-11) will face the Pittsburgh Pirates (7-12) on Thursday at 12:35 p.m. EDT in Pittsburgh. The Pirates lead the series 2-1.

Starting Pitchers:

• Nationals: Trevor Williams (1-1, 7.36 ERA, 1.77 WHIP, 11 strikeouts)

• Pirates: Andrew Heaney (0-1, 3.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 18 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Pirates -127, Nationals +108

• Run Line: Pirates -1.5 (+165), Nationals +1.5 (-200)

• Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Analysis:

• Pirates’ Strengths:

  • Pittsburgh has been solid at home with a 5-4 record. The Pirates have a 4-0 record when they out-hit their opponents, showing their ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities.

  • Andrew Heaney has been effective with a 3.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, limiting base runners and keeping opposing offenses in check.

  • Players like Oneil Cruz and Henry Davis have contributed, with Cruz hitting 3 home runs this season.

• Nationals’ Struggles:

  • The Nationals have had difficulty on the road with a 2-7 record. Their pitching staff has been a significant weak spot, with Trevor Williams posting a high 7.36 ERA.

  • The Nationals' offense has been inconsistent, although players like James Wood and C.J. Abrams have shown flashes of power, with Abrams hitting 4 home runs in the last 10 games.

  • Washington has struggled when allowing home runs, with a 3-9 record in such games.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Pirates are favored at -127, and with Heaney’s solid pitching and Pittsburgh’s strength at home, they are the safer bet. The Nationals at +108 could be tempting for underdog bettors but come with higher risk due to their pitching struggles.

• Run Line: The Pirates at -1.5 (+165) offer good value, given their recent ability to out-hit opponents and Heaney’s strong pitching performance. The Nationals +1.5 (-200) is a safer choice if you expect a close game, but it doesn’t provide as much upside.

• Total: The over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Given both teams’ recent offensive trends and pitching performances, betting on the under could be the better option, especially with Heaney’s strong showing on the mound.

Conclusion: Betting on the Pirates Moneyline -130

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