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Free Bet

The Washington Nationals (6-9) will face the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-11) on Monday at 6:40 p.m. EDT in Pittsburgh.

Starting Pitchers:

• Nationals: Brad Lord (0-0, 1.80 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 4 strikeouts)

• Pirates: Paul Skenes (1-1, 3.44 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 20 strikeouts)

Betting Lines:

• Moneyline: Pirates -219, Nationals +181

• Run Line: Pirates -1.5 (+100), Nationals +1.5 (-120)

• Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Analysis:

• Pirates’ Strengths:

  • Pittsburgh has been struggling overall with a 5-11 record, but they’ve been slightly better at home with a 3-3 record. Their pitching staff ranks 10th in the NL with a 4.40 ERA.

  • Paul Skenes has been impressive with a 3.44 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP, and his ability to limit base runners will be crucial in this matchup.

  • Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz provide power for the Pirates, and the Pirates' offense could get some momentum against a Nationals pitching staff that has given up runs.

• Nationals’ Struggles:

  • Washington has struggled on the road, with a 1-5 record away from home. Their pitching staff holds a 5.07 ERA, and Brad Lord’s 1.80 ERA in limited innings gives hope for the Nationals, but his limited experience might make it hard to match Skenes' consistency.

  • The Nationals' offense, led by James Wood and Keibert Ruiz, has been better recently, but they’ll need to overcome Pittsburgh’s strong pitching staff to win.

Betting Recommendations:

• Moneyline: The Pirates are heavily favored at -219. While this reflects their pitching advantage with Skenes on the mound, the Nationals at +181 offer good value as underdogs if you're looking for a riskier bet.

• Run Line: The Pirates at -1.5 (+100) offer decent value given their pitching edge and the Nationals' road struggles. Pittsburgh should be able to win by at least two runs, making this a solid bet.

• Total: The over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Considering the strong pitching from Skenes and Lord's solid start, betting on the under seems like a reasonable choice, especially with both teams struggling to score.

Conclusion: Betting on the Pirates to cover -1.5

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