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We’ve ran simulations on today’s NBA games. I am going to share every bet with premium subscribers and a few with free subscribers!

Free Bet of the Day

This matchup between the New York Knicks and the Boston Celtics is set to be an exciting one, with both teams performing at a high level. Let’s break down the key factors:

Celtics -9.5:

• Celtics’ Strength: Boston has been dominant lately and is one of the best teams in the league. They’ve been scoring at a high rate (117.6 points per game in their last 10 games) and playing solid defense (allowing 106.8 points per game). The Celtics are highly efficient, both offensively and defensively. With Jayson Tatum and Derrick White leading the charge, they have enough firepower to extend their lead, even against a high-scoring Knicks team.

• Knicks’ Defense: The Knicks have struggled defensively, allowing 122.6 points per game over their last 10 games. While their offense is strong, they’re giving up a lot of points, which could make it difficult for them to stay within a 9.5-point spread against a team like Boston.

• Recent Form: The Celtics have been dominating, and despite the Knicks’ solid record and recent play, the Celtics have a deeper roster and are better equipped to blow teams out, especially at home. New York has also been involved in close games, but this matchup could be tough for them given their defensive issues.

Bet Recommendation: Celtics -9.5. The Celtics should be able to cover this larger spread due to their offensive efficiency, depth, and the Knicks' struggles on defense. If Boston continues their recent form, they should win comfortably by at least 10 points.

This matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors presents an interesting scenario, with both teams having strong individual performances and similar records. Here’s a breakdown of the key factors:

1. Point Spread: Warriors -9.5

• Golden State’s Strength: The Warriors have been solid, particularly at home, and their record is 29-27. Stephen Curry (27.2 PPG over the last 10 games) remains one of the league's top scorers. Additionally, the Warriors rank fourth in rebounding in the Western Conference, led by Kevon Looney (6.9 RPG). Golden State’s offense has been effective, averaging 116.6 points per game in the last 10 games.

• Dallas’ Strength: Dallas is coming into this game with a three-game win streak and has been performing well, averaging 116.7 points per game over their last 10. However, the loss of Anthony Davis (groin) for the Mavericks could impact their interior defense and rebounding. Despite this, P.J. Washington (14.5 PPG, 8.2 RPG) and Luka Dončić provide the offensive firepower.

• Defensive Comparison: Golden State has been a solid rebounding team, while Dallas struggles a bit more in that area (ranking 7th in the West for defensive rebounds). Dallas has been allowing 119.2 points per game, which is concerning against a high-scoring team like Golden State.

Bet Recommendation: Warriors -9.5. The Warriors have the home-court advantage and a superior rebounding edge. Given Dallas’ injury to Anthony Davis and their defensive vulnerabilities, the -9.5 spread seems like a good bet for Golden State to cover, even though Dallas has been playing well recently.

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