Best Bet - 9/2/2025

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Breakdown: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Date & Time: Tuesday, 6:40 p.m. EDT

Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Pitching Probables:

  • Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw (9-2, 3.06 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 58 strikeouts)

  • Pirates: Carmen Mlodzinski (3-7, 3.86 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 74 strikeouts)

  • Pittsburgh Pirates:

    • 61-77 overall, 39-30 at home – decent at home despite poor overall record

    • Batting: .261 BA over last 10, outscored opponents by 25 – offense is hot recently

    • Weakness: 21-54 when giving up a home run – Kershaw likely to challenge

  • Los Angeles Dodgers:

    • 78-59 overall, 33-33 on the road – strong overall but inconsistent on the road

    • Batting: .225 BA last 10, outscored opponents by 12 – offense underperforming recently

    • Team BA: .252 – solid season-long hitting performance

Key Players:

  • Pirates:

    • Bryan Reynolds: 34 doubles, 14 HR – consistent offensive threat

    • Jared Triolo: 2 HR, 5 RBI last 10 – hot streak contributor

  • Dodgers:

    • Freddie Freeman: .300 BA, 36 doubles, 18 HR – main offensive anchor

    • Mookie Betts: 1 HR, 2 RBI last 10 – streaky, can impact the game

Pitching Matchup Notes:

  • Clayton Kershaw: 3.06 ERA, 1.16 WHIP – veteran ace, experienced vs Pirates’ lineup

  • Carmen Mlodzinski: 3.86 ERA, 1.32 WHIP – mid-tier performance, vulnerable to top hitters

  • Edge: Dodgers – Kershaw gives Dodgers the advantage, though Pirates’ offense has been hot

Betting Breakdown:

Moneyline:

  • Dodgers -182: Strong pick – Kershaw vs Pirates’ weaker lineup, Dodgers should win