Best Bet - 10/30/2024

Yo!

We lost our NBA bets last night. 0-2.

While we’ve been decent (not great, not terrible) with NBA so far, I can assure you that the bets will get better as our A.I. gets more data.

Just like with baseball season, it takes time but it will get SHARP.

Our college football model has been dialed in though.

And I’ve got a sicko Wednesday night game set up for us all to bet.

1. Jax State +2 (-110):

• Offensive Advantage: Jax State’s rushing attack is a significant strength, ranking 5th with 265 yards per game. Although Liberty has a solid run defense, they may face challenges against such a productive, run-focused offense, giving Jax State a potential advantage.

• Battle-Tested: Jax State has faced a tougher schedule (ranked 100 out of 134 in strength of schedule), which suggests they are more prepared for high-pressure situations and could have an edge in executing a well-rounded game plan.

• High-Powered Offense: Ranked 12th in total offense, Jax State can consistently score, keeping pressure on Liberty’s defense and potentially controlling the game’s tempo.

2. Liberty -2 (-110):

• Defensive Strength: Liberty has been effective on defense, ranking 28th in total yards allowed, including a solid rushing defense (30th, allowing just 116 yards per game). This defensive prowess could help contain Jax State’s run-focused offense.

• Balanced Offense: Liberty’s own offense is ranked 32nd, with a top-10 rushing attack that averages 221 yards per game. If Liberty establishes their ground game early, they could control time of possession and maintain a lead.

3. Over 63 (-110):

• Both teams are productive offensively (Jax State ranked 12th, Liberty 32nd), suggesting a high-scoring game. Jax State’s defense (ranked 107th) has struggled, which Liberty’s offense could exploit, raising the game’s overall point total.

• The ground-heavy offensive approaches from both teams could keep drives long and lead to consistent scoring if both defenses fail to adjust.

4. Under 63 (-110):

• If Liberty’s defense can contain Jax State’s powerful rushing attack, this might lower the pace and keep scoring in check. Additionally, Jax State’s methodical, rushing-based offense could lead to time-consuming drives, also supporting the under.

Best Bet Recommendation: Jax State +2 (-110)

• Jax State’s elite rushing offense, coupled with their experience against tougher teams, gives them an advantage to potentially cover or win outright. Their ability to control tempo with a high-powered ground game and their defensive resilience make them a strong pick at +2.

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