Good Afternoon!

I am back with another “PrimeTime Preview” for the Bengals & Commanders.

Last night’s Sunday Night Football bets went a scorching 4-1 and we were 1 more reception away from cashing the 5th bet.

I try to get as much data about the teams, matchup, and game as I can so that we can make the best bets based on the data served up. This generally treats me really well with these bets.

Let’s see what our A.I. System is saying about this one.

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PrimeTime Preview

1. Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 (-105)

Several factors point to the Bengals covering the spread:

• Joe Burrow's bounce-back ability: Historically, Burrow has performed well after a loss, and the Bengals are 5-0-1 against the spread in games following two consecutive losses during his career.

• Tee Higgins’ return: Higgins' presence on the field should give Burrow another reliable target, spreading Washington’s shaky defense further and giving Cincy more firepower.

• Washington’s defensive struggles: The Commanders rank last in success rate against the pass, 32nd in defending wide receivers, and are third worst in points allowed per drive. This will make it tough for Washington to keep the game close, especially given Burrow’s strong trends in this situation.

2. Over 46.5 Points (-110)

• Cincinnati’s offensive improvement: The Bengals showed improvement in Week 2 against the Chiefs, and with Higgins back, the offense looks set to put up points.

• Washington’s weak defense: Allowing 27.5 points per game (4th most in the league), the Commanders defense should struggle against an elite QB like Burrow.

• Commanders’ offensive competence: Jayden Daniels has looked solid, and while Washington is unlikely to win, Daniels’ mobility and short passing game could help the Commanders score enough to push the total over.

3. Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-155)

• Commanders’ defense against passing touchdowns: Washington allowed 6 passing touchdowns in the first two weeks against Daniel Jones and Baker Mayfield, both of whom are far less dangerous than Burrow.

• Higgins’ return: With Ja'Marr Chase already a threat, Higgins’ return makes it more likely for Burrow to hit multiple passing touchdowns.

4. Brian Robinson Jr. Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

• Cincinnati's vulnerability to the run: The Bengals have struggled to stop the run, making Robinson’s rushing yardage prop attractive.

• Robinson’s consistency: He’s averaging nearly 90 yards per game this season, and his physical style of play fits well against a Bengals defense that has had trouble containing running backs.

5. Ja'Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown (+125)

• Commanders’ struggles against WR1: Washington ranks last in the NFL against top wide receivers. Chase has gone six games without a touchdown, and this looks like an ideal spot for him to break that streak.

6. Jayden Daniels Over 48.5 Rushing Yards

• Man coverage issues: Cincinnati’s defense plays a lot of man coverage, which leaves running lanes open for a mobile quarterback like Daniels. He’s averaging 66 rushing yards per game, and the Bengals' defensive scheme may give him ample opportunities to scramble.