Happy Presidents Day!

Caleb here.

We don’t have a ton of action to bet on as the NBA is still off, but we do have some college basketball action I like tonight!

Free Bet of the Day

Duke -13.5 (@ Virginia)

What Our Sports Betting A.I. Predicts:

This matchup between Duke and Virginia is intriguing, but the large spread and defensive strengths of both teams provide a clear picture for betting decisions. Let's break it down:

1. Point Spread: Duke -13.5

• Duke’s Dominance: Duke has been playing at an incredibly high level, especially in ACC play, with a 14-1 conference record. They score 81.0 points per game and are a significant offensive threat. Their defense is also solid, allowing only 64.3 points per game. Duke’s dominance in both scoring and rebounding (35.8 rebounds per game) gives them an advantage over Virginia.

• Virginia’s Struggles: Virginia has been solid at home (9-5), but they are significantly outmatched in terms of scoring. Virginia allows just 64.9 points per game, but Duke’s offense could easily surpass that given how explosive they've been recently (82.5 points per game in their last 10).

• Defensive Comparison: While Virginia is typically strong defensively, Duke has been firing on all cylinders. Duke’s size and rebounding strength (led by Cooper Flagg) should help them control the boards and second-chance opportunities, which could wear Virginia down.

• Home-Court Advantage: Virginia’s home-court advantage is notable, but Duke is in another class, especially considering the Cavaliers’ scoring struggles (averaging only 69.4 points over the last 10 games).

Bet Recommendation: Duke -13.5. The spread is large, but Duke’s recent form, combined with Virginia’s scoring struggles, makes it likely that the Blue Devils will cover. Their offensive firepower should overwhelm Virginia, especially if they get up by a substantial margin early.

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